Home > Football > League One
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 79.85%. A draw had a probability of 13.7% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 6.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.9%) and 1-0 (10.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.48%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (2.52%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Ipswich Town | Draw | Morecambe |
79.85% ( 0.04) | 13.65% ( -0.02) | 6.5% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 41.54% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.28% ( -0.01) | 38.72% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.97% ( -0) | 61.03% ( 0) |
Ipswich Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.33% ( 0.01) | 7.67% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
72.62% ( 0.02) | 27.38% ( -0.02) |
Morecambe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
44.99% ( -0.07) | 55% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
12.12% ( -0.04) | 87.88% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Ipswich Town | Draw | Morecambe |
2-0 @ 13.91% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 11.9% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 10.83% 2-1 @ 8.32% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 7.64% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.12% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 4.57% ( -0) 5-0 @ 3.92% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 2.35% 3-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 1.68% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( -0) 6-1 @ 1% Other @ 3.12% Total : 79.84% | 1-1 @ 6.48% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.22% ( 0) 2-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.47% Total : 13.65% | 0-1 @ 2.52% ( -0) 1-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.04% Total : 6.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 19 |
2 | Wrexham | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 17 |
3 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 14 |
4 | Blackpool | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | Barnsley | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 13 |
8 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Stockport CountyStockport | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 12 |
10 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Stevenage | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 11 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
14 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Reading | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 8 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 7 |
21 | Bristol Rovers | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
22 | Burton Albion | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 4 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |