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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 40.23%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 32.81% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (9.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Forest Green Rovers | Draw | MK Dons |
40.23% ( -0.62) | 26.97% ( -0.08) | 32.81% ( 0.7) |
Both teams to score 50.53% ( 0.45) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.36% ( 0.47) | 54.64% ( -0.47) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.03% ( 0.39) | 75.97% ( -0.39) |
Forest Green Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.36% ( -0.12) | 26.64% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.13% ( -0.16) | 61.88% ( 0.16) |
MK Dons Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.88% ( 0.72) | 31.12% ( -0.72) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.55% ( 0.83) | 67.45% ( -0.83) |
Score Analysis |
Forest Green Rovers | Draw | MK Dons |
1-0 @ 10.96% ( -0.24) 2-1 @ 8.47% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.25% ( -0.19) 3-1 @ 3.73% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.2% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.18% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.14% Total : 40.22% | 1-1 @ 12.8% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.29% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.97% | 0-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.47% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 2.91% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.98% Total : 32.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 19 |
2 | Wrexham | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 17 |
3 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 14 |
4 | Blackpool | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | Barnsley | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 13 |
8 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Stockport CountyStockport | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 12 |
10 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Stevenage | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 11 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
14 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Reading | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 8 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 7 |
21 | Bristol Rovers | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
22 | Burton Albion | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 4 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |