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Leyton Orient
League One | Gameweek 36
Mar 8, 2025 at 3pm UK
Brisbane Road
Northampton Town

Leyton Orient
1 - 2
Northampton

Kelman (60')
Simpson (44')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Roberts (11'), McGeehan (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Leyton Orient and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rotherham 1-0 Leyton Orient
Tuesday, March 4 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Northampton 1-1 Stockport
Tuesday, March 4 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Leyton Orient 2-0 Northampton Town

Orient may have lost four on the bounce ahead of this weekend's clash, but they will know the importance of taking all three points having fallen behind in the race for promotion. Expect Northampton to put up a fight given the threat of relegation looming close behind them, but considering the strength of their home record, the O's should get the win in front of their own crowd. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 56.59%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 18.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.42%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (7.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
Leyton OrientDrawNorthampton Town
56.59% (-0.364 -0.36) 24.6% (0.144 0.14) 18.81% (0.221 0.22)
Both teams to score 45.18% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.54% (-0.249 -0.25)55.46% (0.251 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.35% (-0.203 -0.2)76.65% (0.206 0.21)
Leyton Orient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.49% (-0.236 -0.24)19.52% (0.238 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.6% (-0.387 -0.39)51.41% (0.389 0.39)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.14% (0.113 0.11)43.86% (-0.111 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.99% (0.091000000000001 0.09)80.01% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Leyton Orient 56.58%
    Northampton Town 18.81%
    Draw 24.59%
Leyton OrientDrawNorthampton Town
1-0 @ 13.98% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 11.42% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.42% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.22% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-1 @ 5.13% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-0 @ 2.54% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.11% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.1% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 56.58%
1-1 @ 11.52% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 8.56% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
2-2 @ 3.88% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 24.59%
0-1 @ 7.06% (0.09 0.09)
1-2 @ 4.75% (0.04 0.04)
0-2 @ 2.91% (0.046 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.31% (0.015 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.07% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 18.81%

How you voted: Leyton Orient vs Northampton

Leyton Orient
58.3%
Draw
25.0%
Northampton Town
16.7%
12
Head to Head
Oct 19, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 12
Northampton
1-0
Leyton Orient
McGeehan (48')
Baldwin (55'), Pinnock (84'), Guthrie (90+3')

Galbraith (10'), Agyei (35'), James (56')
Feb 13, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
Leyton Orient
4-3
Northampton
O'Neill (35'), Forde (58'), Sotiriou (80', 90+7')
El Mizouni (21'), Brown (41')
Leonard (45+1'), Bowie (77'), Simpson (83')
Brady (22'), Gape (31'), Guthrie (90+6')
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Northampton
2-2
Leyton Orient
Hoskins (49', 52' pen.)
Burge (81')
Bowie (58')
Hunt (14'), Forde (90+6')
Happe (10'), Cooper (19'), Turns (90+7')
Jan 2, 2023 3pm
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham34247356223479
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe351911561332868
3Wrexham35208750282268
4Stockport CountyStockport361711852341862
5Charlton AthleticCharlton35179946311560
6Bolton WanderersBolton35186115751660
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield361771247331458
8Reading351510104945455
9Leyton Orient361651551371453
10Barnsley36157145051-152
11Blackpool35111595247548
12Stevenage35139133335-248
13Lincoln CityLincoln361210144845346
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham35128153941-244
15Wigan AthleticWigan351110143234-243
16Mansfield TownMansfield35118164148-741
17Northampton TownNorthampton361011153653-1741
18Exeter CityExeter34117163750-1340
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough35109165260-839
20Bristol Rovers35116183653-1739
21Burton Albion36712173653-1733
22Crawley TownCrawley3579193865-2730
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3578203458-2429
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3677223460-2628


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