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League One | Gameweek 40
Apr 16, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Lincoln City

Oxford Utd
0 - 1
Lincoln


Rodrigues (63'), Browne (73'), McGuane (89'), Brannagan (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mandroiu (47' pen.)
Mitchell (16'), Duffy (20'), O'Connor (49'), Taylor (74'), Mandroiu (79'), House (90+5'), Erhahon (90+6')
Duffy (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Oxford United and Lincoln City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oxford Utd 5-0 Peterborough
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 1-2 Wigan
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League One

We said: Oxford United 2-0 Lincoln City

Oxford will be looking to do the league double over Lincoln, having run out 2-0 winners in the reverse match earlier this season, and we are backing the home side to secure all three points on Tuesday evening courtesy of the same scoreline. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 46.78%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 28.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 0-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawLincoln City
46.78% (0.10100000000001 0.1) 25.11% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 28.11% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Both teams to score 54.1% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.03% (0.040000000000006 0.04)48.97% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.94% (0.036000000000001 0.04)71.06% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.04% (0.058999999999997 0.06)20.96% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.28% (0.093999999999994 0.09)53.72% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.45% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)31.55% (0.038 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.05% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)67.95% (0.044999999999987 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 46.77%
    Lincoln City 28.11%
    Draw 25.11%
Oxford UnitedDrawLincoln City
1-0 @ 10.33%
2-1 @ 9.31% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.07% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.85% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.21% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.8% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.9% (0.01 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.64% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.09% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 46.77%
1-1 @ 11.92% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.61% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.37% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.11%
0-1 @ 7.63% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.88% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.4% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.64% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.69% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 28.11%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Lincoln

Oxford United
67.3%
Draw
15.4%
Lincoln City
17.3%
52
Head to Head
Oct 31, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Lincoln
0-2
Oxford Utd
Brown (13'), Jensen (64' og.)
Rodrigues (40'), O'Donkor (89')
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 35
Lincoln
1-0
Oxford Utd
Mandroiu (23' pen.)
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Oxford Utd
1-2
Lincoln
Brannagan (69' pen.)
Seddon (36'), Taylor (38')
Hopper (21'), Scully (45+1')
Roughan (81'), Sorensen (88'), Eyoma (90+2')
Jan 8, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 27
Lincoln
2-0
Oxford Utd
Scully (40'), Whittaker (56')

Taylor (90')
Kane (77')
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 5
Oxford Utd
3-1
Lincoln
Henry (12', 24', 73' pen.)
Scully (87' pen.)
Bridcutt (64')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham34247356223479
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe351911561332868
3Wrexham35208750282268
4Stockport CountyStockport361711852341862
5Charlton AthleticCharlton35179946311560
6Bolton WanderersBolton35186115751660
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield361771247331458
8Reading351510104945455
9Leyton Orient361651551371453
10Barnsley36157145051-152
11Blackpool35111595247548
12Stevenage35139133335-248
13Lincoln CityLincoln361210144845346
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham35128153941-244
15Wigan AthleticWigan351110143234-243
16Mansfield TownMansfield35118164148-741
17Northampton TownNorthampton361011153653-1741
18Exeter CityExeter34117163750-1340
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough35109165260-839
20Bristol Rovers35116183653-1739
21Burton Albion36712173653-1733
22Crawley TownCrawley3579193865-2730
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3578203458-2429
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3677223460-2628


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