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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 39.31%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 33.18% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 1-0 (10.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.
Result | ||
Lincoln City | Draw | Portsmouth |
33.18% ( -0.16) | 27.51% ( 0.04) | 39.31% ( 0.12) |
Both teams to score 48.98% ( -0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.36% ( -0.17) | 56.64% ( 0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.4% ( -0.13) | 77.61% ( 0.14) |
Lincoln City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.12% ( -0.19) | 31.88% ( 0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.67% ( -0.22) | 68.33% ( 0.22) |
Portsmouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.91% ( -0.01) | 28.09% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.24% ( -0.02) | 63.76% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Lincoln City | Draw | Portsmouth |
1-0 @ 10.23% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.43% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 5.85% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.83% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.23% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.81% Total : 33.18% | 1-1 @ 12.99% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.96% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.5% | 0-1 @ 11.37% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 8.25% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.22% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.49% 0-3 @ 3.06% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.11% 0-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.84% Total : 39.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 30 |
3 | Wrexham | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 28 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 27 |
5 | Barnsley | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 26 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 23 |
9 | Exeter CityExeter | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Reading | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 23 |
11 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 23 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 21 |
13 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 19 |
14 | Bristol Rovers | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 18 |
15 | Stevenage | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 18 |
16 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
18 | Blackpool | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 17 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 14 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 13 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 11 |
23 | Burton Albion | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 8 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 8 |
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