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Lincoln City
League One | Gameweek 46
Apr 27, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
LNER Stadium
Portsmouth

Lincoln
0 - 2
Portsmouth


House (39'), Taylor (42'), Erhahon (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Peart-Harris (81'), Lane (90+12')
Towler (37'), Mousinho (38'), Peart-Harris (39'), Lowery (57'), Moxon (70'), Sparkes (76'), Yengi (90+4'), Saydee (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Lincoln City and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cheltenham 1-2 Lincoln
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 1-2 Wigan
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in League One

We said: Lincoln City 1-1 Portsmouth

Having already secured promotion, Portsmouth have little to play for on the final day of the season, but they will still be keen to extend their unbeaten away run to 10 matches. After drawing three of their last five away games, we think that Pompey will do enough to dent Lincoln's playoff hopes by holding their hosts to a draw in Saturday's contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 39.31%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 33.18% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 1-0 (10.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawPortsmouth
33.18% (-0.157 -0.16) 27.51% (0.039000000000001 0.04) 39.31% (0.119 0.12)
Both teams to score 48.98% (-0.148 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.36% (-0.168 -0.17)56.64% (0.16999999999999 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.4% (-0.134 -0.13)77.61% (0.137 0.14)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.12% (-0.19199999999999 -0.19)31.88% (0.193 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.67% (-0.22 -0.22)68.33% (0.22199999999999 0.22)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.91% (-0.012 -0.01)28.09% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.24% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)63.76% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 33.18%
    Portsmouth 39.31%
    Draw 27.5%
Lincoln CityDrawPortsmouth
1-0 @ 10.23% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.43% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 5.85% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.83% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.23% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.8% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 33.18%
1-1 @ 12.99% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.96% (0.059000000000001 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.72% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.5%
0-1 @ 11.37% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
1-2 @ 8.25% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 7.22% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.49%
0-3 @ 3.06% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 2% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.11%
0-4 @ 0.97% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 39.31%

How you voted: Lincoln vs Portsmouth

Lincoln City
50.0%
Draw
20.6%
Portsmouth
29.4%
34
Head to Head
Sep 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 9
Portsmouth
2-1
Lincoln
Lane (8'), Poole (45+3')
Robertson (60'), Morrell (71'), Pack (90+7')
Adelakun (5')
Hackett (18'), Erhahon (71')
Feb 18, 2023 3pm
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 2
Portsmouth
0-0
Lincoln
Sanders (41'), Sorensen (87')
Apr 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 43
Portsmouth
3-2
Lincoln
Hirst (50' pen.), Jacobs (68'), Curtis (82')
Thompson (33')
Bishop (70'), House (78')
Jackson (68')
Nov 23, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Lincoln
0-3
Portsmouth

Montsma (60'), Maguire (84')
Harness (45+3'), Hirst (66'), Hackett-Fairchild (89')
Raggett (28'), Morrell (32')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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