EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Nov 7, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Racecourse Ground, Wrexham
Wrexham2 - 1Port Vale
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Wrexham and Port Vale.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Mansfield 1-2 Wrexham
Saturday, November 4 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Saturday, November 4 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Port Vale 0-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in FA Cup
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in FA Cup
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 55.67%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 22.87% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.94%) and 1-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-2 (5.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Wrexham in this match.
| Result | ||
| Wrexham | Draw | Port Vale |
55.67% ( 0.01) | 21.45% ( 0) | 22.87% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 61.25% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.88% ( -0.03) | 37.11% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.69% ( -0.03) | 59.3% ( 0.03) |
| Wrexham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.68% ( -0.01) | 13.31% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 59.83% ( -0.02) | 40.16% ( 0.01) |
| Port Vale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.65% ( -0.03) | 29.34% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.68% ( -0.03) | 65.32% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
Wrexham 55.67%
Port Vale 22.87%
Draw 21.45%
| Wrexham | Draw | Port Vale |
| 2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.94% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 7.88% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.55% 3-0 @ 5.34% ( 0)3-2 @ 4.01% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.3% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.69% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.02% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.33% 5-0 @ 1.09% Other @ 3.79% Total : 55.67% | 1-1 @ 9.66% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.97% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.91% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.64% ( -0)Other @ 0.28% Total : 21.45% | 1-2 @ 5.92% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.79% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.94% 2-3 @ 2.44% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.42% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.2% ( -0)Other @ 3.16% Total : 22.87% |
Head to Head
Apr 26, 2005 3pm
Port Vale
0-2
Wrexham
Birchall (76'), Walsh (83')
Holt (21'), Llewellyn (42')
Crowell (10'), Llewellyn (41')
Crowell (10'), Llewellyn (41')
Aug 21, 2004 3pm
Wrexham
1-1
Port Vale
Brooker (64')
James (51'), Hulbert (62')
James (51'), Hulbert (62')
Form Guide
