We said: Port Vale 1-2 Burton Albion
Port Vale will be in high spirits after booking their place in the EFL Cup quarter-finals, but we think that they may struggle to claim another cup win at the weekend.
Burton have had a week to prepare for Saturday's contest, and their fresh legs could help them claim a fourth straight victory in away meetings with Port Vale.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 51.54%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 23.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.68%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (7.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.