Portsmouth

2 - 0

Port Vale

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 60.64%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Port Vale had a probability of 17.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.37%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Port Vale win it was 0-1 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.