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Port Vale
League One | Gameweek 15
Oct 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Vale Park
Peterborough United

Port Vale
0 - 1
Peterborough


Garrity (32')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mason-Clark (14')
Collins (24'), Poku (55'), Kioso (73'), Kyprianou (79'), Crichlow (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Port Vale and Peterborough United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Port Vale 1-2 Peterborough United

Peterborough have picked up victories on their last two trips to Vale Park, and with the Valiants experiencing a poor run of form, we think that Posh will claim another away victory over Port Vale on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 34.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 2-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Port ValeDrawPeterborough United
34.93% (0.47799999999999 0.48) 24.81% (-0.012 -0.01) 40.25% (-0.466 -0.47)
Both teams to score 58.18% (0.148 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.99% (0.14899999999999 0.15)45.01% (-0.148 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.64% (0.144 0.14)67.36% (-0.14400000000001 -0.14)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.89% (0.34700000000001 0.35)25.11% (-0.346 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.19% (0.477 0.48)59.81% (-0.476 -0.48)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.7% (-0.161 -0.16)22.3% (0.163 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.23% (-0.244 -0.24)55.77% (0.245 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 34.94%
    Peterborough United 40.25%
    Draw 24.81%
Port ValeDrawPeterborough United
2-1 @ 8.02% (0.069 0.07)
1-0 @ 7.74% (0.028 0.03)
2-0 @ 5.35% (0.072 0.07)
3-1 @ 3.7% (0.068 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.77% (0.037 0.04)
3-0 @ 2.46% (0.057 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.28% (0.036 0.04)
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 34.94%
1-1 @ 11.61% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.02% (0.023 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.6% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.39% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.81%
1-2 @ 8.71% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-1 @ 8.4% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
0-2 @ 6.31% (-0.102 -0.1)
1-3 @ 4.36% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
0-3 @ 3.15% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-3 @ 3.01% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
1-4 @ 1.64% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.18% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.13% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 40.25%

How you voted: Port Vale vs Peterborough

Port Vale
44.4%
Draw
11.1%
Peterborough United
44.4%
9
Head to Head
Jan 16, 2023 8pm
Sep 24, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 11
Peterborough
3-0
Port Vale
Clarke-Harris (26', 36'), Ward (73')
Feb 4, 2017 3pm
Port Vale
0-3
Peterborough

Smith (11'), Pugh (73')
Maddison (20'), Morias (90', 95')
Da Silva Lopes (57'), Edwards (58'), Nichols (75')
Sep 10, 2016 3pm
Peterborough
2-2
Port Vale
Moncur (8', 84')
da Silva Lopes (57'), Bostwick (73'), Taylor (95')
Hughes (94')
Jones (6', 94')
Grant (14'), Paterson (45'), Jones (58')
Mar 12, 2016 3pm
Peterborough
2-3
Port Vale
Taylor (2'), Williams (41')
Baldwin (45'), Bostwick (72')
Moore (49'), Hooper (86'), Dodds (89')
Grant (55'), O'Connor (70')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe19134243222143
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham20125330131741
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield19113530181236
5Stockport CountyStockport2096532211133
6Reading199463028231
7Barnsley208662926330
8Bolton WanderersBolton189362829-130
9Lincoln CityLincoln207762625128
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough197393735224
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
20Bristol Rovers1963101728-1121
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1945102031-1117
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011


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