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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 34.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 2-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.
Result | ||
Port Vale | Draw | Peterborough United |
34.93% ( 0.48) | 24.81% ( -0.01) | 40.25% ( -0.47) |
Both teams to score 58.18% ( 0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.99% ( 0.15) | 45.01% ( -0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.64% ( 0.14) | 67.36% ( -0.14) |
Port Vale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.89% ( 0.35) | 25.11% ( -0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.19% ( 0.48) | 59.81% ( -0.48) |
Peterborough United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.7% ( -0.16) | 22.3% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.23% ( -0.24) | 55.77% ( 0.24) |
Score Analysis |
Port Vale | Draw | Peterborough United |
2-1 @ 8.02% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 7.74% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 5.35% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 3.7% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 2.46% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.66% Total : 34.94% | 1-1 @ 11.61% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.02% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.6% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.81% | 1-2 @ 8.71% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 8.4% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 6.31% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 4.36% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 3.15% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 3.01% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.64% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.36% Total : 40.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 43 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 42 |
3 | Wrexham | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 13 | 17 | 41 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 33 |
6 | Reading | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 31 |
7 | Barnsley | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 30 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 30 |
9 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 28 |
10 | Blackpool | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 26 |
11 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Stevenage | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 25 |
13 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 37 | 35 | 2 | 24 |
14 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 24 |
15 | Exeter CityExeter | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 24 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 23 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 23 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 22 |
19 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 21 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 19 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 20 | 31 | -11 | 17 |
23 | Burton Albion | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 12 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 19 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 19 | 39 | -20 | 11 |
> League One Full Table |