MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 17:11:21| >> :600:521660:521660:
MK Dons
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Nov 21, 2023 at 7pm UK
Stadium mk
Northampton Town

MK Dons
3 - 2
Northampton

Waller (56'), Burns (64'), Devoy (83')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Monthe (36'), Simpson (82' pen.)
Brady (0'), Simpson (28'), Hondermarck (85')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between MK Dons and Northampton Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

MK Dons

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Newport 0-0 MK Dons
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in League Two

Northampton Town

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Northampton 2-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 47.18%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 27.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.

Result
MK DonsDrawNorthampton Town
47.18% (-0.22 -0.22) 25.1% (0.058 0.06) 27.72% (0.161 0.16)
Both teams to score 53.84% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.82% (-0.154 -0.15)49.18% (0.154 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.75% (-0.139 -0.14)71.24% (0.13800000000001 0.14)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.13% (-0.157 -0.16)20.87% (0.155 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.43% (-0.246 -0.25)53.57% (0.245 0.25)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.04% (0.040000000000006 0.04)31.96% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.58% (0.045999999999999 0.05)68.42% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 47.18%
    Northampton Town 27.72%
    Draw 25.1%
MK DonsDrawNorthampton Town
1-0 @ 10.45% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.34% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.19% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.88% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.28% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.78% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.91% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.68% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.09% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 47.18%
1-1 @ 11.92% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.67% (0.041 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.33% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.1%
0-1 @ 7.61% (0.056 0.06)
1-2 @ 6.8% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.34% (0.037 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.59% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.03% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.65% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 27.72%

Head to Head
Feb 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 30
MK Dons
4-3
Northampton
Surman (13'), Grigg (34'), Jerome (83'), Brown (88')
Horsfall (2'), Watson (46'), Kioso (78')
Jan 12, 2021 7.45pm
Third Round
Northampton
0-2
MK Dons

Watson (86')
Walker (27', 83')
Nov 3, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Northampton
0-0
MK Dons
Sowerby (7')
Kasumu (22'), Jerome (65')
Sep 8, 2020 7pm
Group Stage
MK Dons
3-1
Northampton
Poole (34'), Nombe (74'), Sorinola (77')
Sorensen (66')
Mills (13')
Lines (49')
Dec 29, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 25
Northampton
2-2
MK Dons
Williams (78'), Morias (90')
Crooks (26'), van Veen (71'), Pierre (72')
Gilbey (20'), Aneke (69')
McGrandles (55'), Lewington (72'), Williams (85')
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