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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 42.66%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 33.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.66%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 1-2 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.
Result | ||
Peterborough United | Draw | Charlton Athletic |
42.66% ( 0.1) | 23.88% ( 0.01) | 33.46% ( -0.12) |
Both teams to score 61.17% ( -0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.05% ( -0.11) | 40.95% ( 0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.66% ( -0.11) | 63.34% ( 0.11) |
Peterborough United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.53% ( -0) | 19.47% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.67% ( -0) | 51.32% ( -0) |
Charlton Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.95% ( -0.12) | 24.05% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.68% ( -0.17) | 58.32% ( 0.17) |
Score Analysis |
Peterborough United | Draw | Charlton Athletic |
2-1 @ 8.93% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.66% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.87% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.42% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.99% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.22% Total : 42.66% | 1-1 @ 10.91% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.37% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.68% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.87% | 1-2 @ 7.78% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.67% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.7% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.89% Total : 33.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 29 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 26 |
3 | Wrexham | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 25 |
4 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 24 |
5 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 24 |
6 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 23 |
7 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 22 |
8 | Barnsley | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 22 |
9 | Reading | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 22 |
10 | Stockport CountyStockport | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 21 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 19 |
12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 19 |
13 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 18 |
14 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 17 |
15 | Stevenage | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 17 |
16 | Blackpool | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 16 |
17 | Bristol Rovers | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 16 |
18 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 15 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 11 |
21 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 10 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 8 |
24 | Burton Albion | 12 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 4 |
> League One Full Table |