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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 70.82%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 11.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.78%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.2%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (3.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Charlton Athletic | Draw | Morecambe |
70.82% ( 0.04) | 17.39% ( -0.02) | 11.79% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 51.27% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.44% ( 0.05) | 38.56% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.14% ( 0.05) | 60.86% ( -0.05) |
Charlton Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.31% ( 0.02) | 9.69% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.69% ( 0.05) | 32.31% ( -0.05) |
Morecambe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.77% ( -0) | 43.23% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.52% ( -0) | 79.48% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Charlton Athletic | Draw | Morecambe |
2-0 @ 11.4% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.78% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.57% ( -0) 3-0 @ 8.88% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.45% ( 0) 4-0 @ 5.18% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 4.35% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.12% ( 0) 5-0 @ 2.42% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 2.03% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.82% ( 0) 6-0 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 3.89% Total : 70.82% | 1-1 @ 8.2% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.19% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.01% ( -0) Other @ 0.99% Total : 17.39% | 0-1 @ 3.51% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 3.44% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.47% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.12% 1-3 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 1.28% Total : 11.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 19 |
2 | Wrexham | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 17 |
3 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 14 |
4 | Blackpool | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | Barnsley | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 13 |
8 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Stockport CountyStockport | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 12 |
10 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Stevenage | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 11 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
14 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Reading | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 8 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 7 |
21 | Bristol Rovers | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
22 | Burton Albion | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 4 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |