League One

League One | Gameweek 41

Mar 29, 2024 at 3pm UK

Select Car Leasing Stadium

Reading
1 - 0
Northampton

Ehibhaimha (65')
Elliott (22')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Monthe (4')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Reading and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Reading

All competitions

Last Game: Reading 4-0 Cambridge
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Northampton Town

All competitions

Last Game: Northampton 1-0 Derby
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Reading 2-1 Northampton Town

Northampton may have got the better of Reading in the reverse fixture, but the Royals tend to produce their best performances on home turf. Having won six of their last nine matches in Berkshire, we think that Reading will make full use of home advantage to edge out Northampton on Friday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 62.92%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 16.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 1-0 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.52%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 1-2 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Reading would win this match.

Result
Reading	Draw	Northampton Town
62.92% ( -0.26)	20.29% ( 0.12)	16.79% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 54.65% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.13% (

-0.33)

40.87% (

0.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.74% (

-0.34)

63.26% (

0.34)

Reading Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.6% (

-0.17)

12.4% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.72% (

-0.36)

38.28% (

0.36)

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.38% (

-0.04)

37.62% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.6% (

-0.04)

74.4% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Reading 62.91%

Northampton Town 16.79%

Draw 20.3%

Reading	Draw	Northampton Town
2-0 @ 10.16% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.74% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 7.07% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 6.92% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 3.69% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 3.61% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.38% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.6% Total : 62.91%	1-1 @ 9.52% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.86% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.66% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 20.3%	1-2 @ 4.65% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 4.56% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.58% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.25% Total : 16.79%