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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 62.92%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 16.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 1-0 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.52%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 1-2 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Reading would win this match.
Result | ||
Reading | Draw | Northampton Town |
62.92% ( -0.26) | 20.29% ( 0.12) | 16.79% ( 0.13) |
Both teams to score 54.65% ( -0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.13% ( -0.33) | 40.87% ( 0.33) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.74% ( -0.34) | 63.26% ( 0.34) |
Reading Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.6% ( -0.17) | 12.4% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.72% ( -0.36) | 38.28% ( 0.36) |
Northampton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.38% ( -0.04) | 37.62% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.6% ( -0.04) | 74.4% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Reading | Draw | Northampton Town |
2-0 @ 10.16% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.74% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 7.07% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 6.92% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 3.69% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 3.61% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.38% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.6% Total : 62.91% | 1-1 @ 9.52% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.86% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.66% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 20.3% | 1-2 @ 4.65% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 4.56% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.58% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.25% Total : 16.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 30 |
3 | Wrexham | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 28 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 27 |
5 | Barnsley | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 26 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 23 |
9 | Exeter CityExeter | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Reading | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 23 |
11 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 23 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 21 |
13 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 19 |
14 | Bristol Rovers | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 18 |
15 | Stevenage | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 18 |
16 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
18 | Blackpool | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 17 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 14 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 13 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 11 |
23 | Burton Albion | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 8 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |