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League One | Gameweek 38
Mar 12, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Sixfields Stadium
Blackpool

Northampton
0 - 1
Blackpool


Sowerby (5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Northampton Town and Blackpool, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cambridge 1-1 Northampton
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League One

We said: Northampton Town 1-1 Blackpool

Blackpool need to win to stay in touch with the playoffs, but they have only managed to triumph in five of their 18 away league fixtures this term, while Northampton have lost just five times at home. We are expecting a tight match on Tuesday evening and are finding it difficult to separate them. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackpool win with a probability of 44.13%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 29.74% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackpool win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (7.9%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-0 (8.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Blackpool in this match.

Result
Northampton TownDrawBlackpool
29.74% (-0.758 -0.76) 26.13% (-0.268 -0.27) 44.13% (1.023 1.02)
Both teams to score 51.89% (0.442 0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.67% (0.748 0.75)52.32% (-0.753 -0.75)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.98% (0.641 0.64)74.02% (-0.645 -0.64)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.91% (-0.16099999999999 -0.16)32.09% (0.156 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.44% (-0.181 -0.18)68.56% (0.17700000000001 0.18)
Blackpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.4% (0.828 0.83)23.6% (-0.832 -0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.33% (1.185 1.19)57.67% (-1.189 -1.19)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 29.74%
    Blackpool 44.13%
    Draw 26.12%
Northampton TownDrawBlackpool
1-0 @ 8.61% (-0.299 -0.3)
2-1 @ 7.06% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-0 @ 4.89% (-0.191 -0.19)
3-1 @ 2.68% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.93% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.85% (-0.081 -0.08)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 29.74%
1-1 @ 12.42% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-0 @ 7.57% (-0.229 -0.23)
2-2 @ 5.1% (0.052 0.05)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.12%
0-1 @ 10.93% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-2 @ 8.97% (0.129 0.13)
0-2 @ 7.9% (0.148 0.15)
1-3 @ 4.32% (0.164 0.16)
0-3 @ 3.8% (0.16 0.16)
2-3 @ 2.46% (0.083 0.08)
1-4 @ 1.56% (0.096 0.1)
0-4 @ 1.37% (0.089 0.09)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 44.13%

How you voted: Northampton vs Blackpool

Northampton Town
43.3%
Draw
26.7%
Blackpool
30.0%
30
Head to Head
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Blackpool
1-2
Northampton
Rhodes (65')
Bowie (31'), Hoskins (75')
Bowie (31'), Brady (32'), Odimayo (34'), Hoskins (64'), Sowerby (86')
May 1, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 45
Northampton
0-3
Blackpool

Kioso (45+6'), Edmondson (67')
Garbutt (19'), Yates (75', 86')
Husband (54')
Feb 2, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 23
Blackpool
2-0
Northampton
Ekpiteta (12'), Yates (90+2')

Chukwuemeka (68'), McWilliams (78'), Morris (89'), Mills (90+5')
Apr 10, 2018 7.45pm
Oct 28, 2017 2pm
Northampton
1-0
Blackpool
Hoskins (20')
Grimes (66'), Poole (80')

Cooke (59'), Tilt (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham34247356223479
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe351911561332868
3Wrexham35208750282268
4Stockport CountyStockport361711852341862
5Charlton AthleticCharlton35179946311560
6Bolton WanderersBolton35186115751660
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield361771247331458
8Reading351510104945455
9Leyton Orient361651551371453
10Barnsley36157145051-152
11Blackpool35111595247548
12Stevenage35139133335-248
13Lincoln CityLincoln361210144845346
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham35128153941-244
15Wigan AthleticWigan351110143234-243
16Mansfield TownMansfield35118164148-741
17Northampton TownNorthampton361011153653-1741
18Exeter CityExeter34117163750-1340
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough35109165260-839
20Bristol Rovers35116183653-1739
21Burton Albion36712173653-1733
22Crawley TownCrawley3579193865-2730
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3578203458-2429
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3677223460-2628


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