League One

League One | Gameweek 38

Mar 12, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Sixfields Stadium

Northampton
0 - 1
Blackpool

Sowerby (5')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Pennington (55')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Northampton Town and Blackpool, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Northampton Town

All competitions

Last Game: Cambridge 1-1 Northampton
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Blackpool

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Blackpool 0-0 Portsmouth
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Northampton Town 1-1 Blackpool

Blackpool need to win to stay in touch with the playoffs, but they have only managed to triumph in five of their 18 away league fixtures this term, while Northampton have lost just five times at home. We are expecting a tight match on Tuesday evening and are finding it difficult to separate them. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackpool win with a probability of 44.13%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 29.74% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackpool win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (7.9%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-0 (8.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Blackpool in this match.

Result
Northampton Town	Draw	Blackpool
29.74% ( -0.76)	26.13% ( -0.27)	44.13% ( 1.02)

Both teams to score 51.89% (

0.44)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.67% (

0.75)

52.32% (

-0.75)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.98% (

0.64)

74.02% (

-0.64)

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.91% (

-0.16)

32.09% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.44% (

-0.18)

68.56% (

0.18)

Blackpool Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.4% (

0.83)

23.6% (

-0.83)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.33% (

1.19)

57.67% (

-1.19)

Score Analysis

Northampton Town 29.74%

Blackpool 44.13%

Draw 26.12%

Northampton Town	Draw	Blackpool
1-0 @ 8.61% ( -0.3) 2-1 @ 7.06% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 4.89% ( -0.19) 3-1 @ 2.68% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.93% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.85% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.72% Total : 29.74%	1-1 @ 12.42% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 7.57% ( -0.23) 2-2 @ 5.1% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.12%	0-1 @ 10.93% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 8.97% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 7.9% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 4.32% ( 0.16) 0-3 @ 3.8% ( 0.16) 2-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 1.56% ( 0.1) 0-4 @ 1.37% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.82% Total : 44.13%