The strength of Chelsea Under-21s for this match is yet to be confirmed, but it will be a tough game either way for the Blues against a decent League One outfit, and we are tipping Cheltenham to edge this contest to advance to the next round of the competition. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 41.32%. A win for Chelsea Under-21s had a probability of 34.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.44%) and 2-0 (6%). The likeliest Chelsea Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cheltenham Town would win this match.

Result
Cheltenham Town	Draw	Chelsea Under-21s
41.32% ( 0.02)	23.88% ( 0.01)	34.79% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 61.54% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.38% (

-0.05)

40.62% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37% (

-0.05)

63% (

0.05)

Cheltenham Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.08% (

-0.01)

19.92% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.94% (

-0.02)

52.05% (

0.02)

Chelsea Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.85% (

-0.04)

23.15% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.98% (

-0.06)

57.02% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Cheltenham Town 41.33%

Chelsea Under-21s 34.79%

Draw 23.88%

Cheltenham Town	Draw	Chelsea Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.78% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.44% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.72% 3-2 @ 3.46% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.23% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.91% 4-2 @ 1.39% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.3% ( 0) Other @ 3.09% Total : 41.33%	1-1 @ 10.88% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.43% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.61% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.69% ( -0) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.88%	1-2 @ 7.96% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.75% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.94% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.88% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.41% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.42% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 3.15% Total : 34.79%