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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 44.71%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 29.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (8.06%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Oxford United |
29.14% ( -0.04) | 26.14% ( 0.01) | 44.71% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 51.53% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.36% ( -0.06) | 52.63% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.72% ( -0.05) | 74.28% ( 0.05) |
Shrewsbury Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.31% ( -0.06) | 32.69% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.76% ( -0.07) | 69.24% ( 0.07) |
Oxford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.55% ( -0.02) | 23.45% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.54% ( -0.02) | 57.46% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Oxford United |
1-0 @ 8.57% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.95% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.79% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.59% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.79% ( -0) Other @ 2.58% Total : 29.14% | 1-1 @ 12.43% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.66% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.14% | 0-1 @ 11.11% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.01% 0-2 @ 8.06% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.36% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.9% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.58% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.41% ( 0) Other @ 2.84% Total : 44.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 29 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 26 |
3 | Wrexham | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 25 |
4 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 24 |
5 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 24 |
6 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 23 |
7 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 22 |
8 | Barnsley | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 22 |
9 | Reading | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 22 |
10 | Stockport CountyStockport | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 21 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 19 |
12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 19 |
13 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 18 |
14 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 17 |
15 | Stevenage | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 17 |
16 | Blackpool | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 16 |
17 | Bristol Rovers | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 16 |
18 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 15 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 11 |
21 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 10 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 8 |
24 | Burton Albion | 12 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 4 |
> League One Full Table |