League One

League One | Gameweek 38

Mar 12, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Montgomery Waters Meadow

Shrewsbury
0 - 3
Exeter

Sraha (5'), Bayliss (42'), Benning (42')
Shipley (6')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Aimson (33'), Harris (41'), Aitchison (45+5')
Harper (27'), Cole (29'), Eisa (90+3')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Shrewsbury Town and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shrewsbury Town

All competitions

Last Game: Port Vale 1-2 Shrewsbury
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Exeter City

All competitions

Last Game: Exeter 2-2 Bolton
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Shrewsbury Town 1-1 Exeter City

For all of Shrewsbury's attacking shortcomings on home soil, Exeter arrive at Montgomery Waters Meadow with just one clean sheet from their last 14 away games and have often struggled to shut out their hosts on Salop soil. Jellied legs from the weekend could also hamper the flow of both sides, and in a contest as tight as the table would suggest, we can only envisage a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 38.21%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 34.98% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (9.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
Shrewsbury Town	Draw	Exeter City
38.21% ( 0.09)	26.81% ( 0.01)	34.98% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 51.45% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.34% (

-0.04)

53.65% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.85% (

-0.03)

75.15% (

0.03)

Shrewsbury Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.7% (

0.04)

27.3% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.25% (

0.05)

62.74% (

-0.04)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.77% (

-0.08)

29.22% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.82% (

-0.09)

65.17% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Shrewsbury Town 38.2%

Exeter City 34.98%

Draw 26.8%

Shrewsbury Town	Draw	Exeter City
1-0 @ 10.35% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.27% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.72% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.58% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.91% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.2% 4-1 @ 1.16% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.06% Total : 38.2%	1-1 @ 12.74% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.98% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.09% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.9% ( -0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.8%	0-1 @ 9.82% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.84% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.04% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.21% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.53% Total : 34.98%