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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 43.42%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 33.65% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.58%) and 0-2 (5.79%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 2-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Accrington Stanley | Draw | Notts County |
33.65% ( 0) | 22.92% | 43.42% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 64.8% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.78% ( 0) | 36.22% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.66% ( 0) | 58.33% ( -0) |
Accrington Stanley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.28% ( 0) | 21.71% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.12% ( 0) | 54.88% ( -0) |
Notts County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.78% | 17.22% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.49% ( -0) | 47.51% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Accrington Stanley | Draw | Notts County |
2-1 @ 7.67% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.71% 2-0 @ 4.36% 3-1 @ 3.91% 3-2 @ 3.44% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.22% 4-1 @ 1.49% 4-2 @ 1.31% Other @ 3.55% Total : 33.65% | 1-1 @ 10.04% 2-2 @ 6.75% 0-0 @ 3.74% 3-3 @ 2.01% Other @ 0.38% Total : 22.92% | 1-2 @ 8.84% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.58% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.79% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.18% 2-3 @ 3.96% 0-3 @ 3.39% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.28% 2-4 @ 1.74% 0-4 @ 1.49% Other @ 4.19% Total : 43.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
9 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 22 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 17 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
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