Carlisle

2 - 0

Scunthorpe

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 45.46%. A win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 27.37% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest Scunthorpe United win was 0-1 (9.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.