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Championship header 2

League Two
Crawley Town
League Two | Gameweek 27
Mar 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Doncaster Rovers

Crawley
1 - 1
Doncaster

Khaleel (82')
Ogungbo (60')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lavery (45+6')
Anderson (9'), Brown (45'), Close (90+6'), Molyneux (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Crawley Town and Doncaster Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crawley Town

All competitions
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 0-1 Crawley
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League Two

Doncaster Rovers

All competitions
Last Game: Salford City 3-1 Doncaster
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Crawley Town 1-0 Doncaster Rovers

 Crawley appear to have turned a corner in recent weeks, running out comprehensive 3-1 winners against Harrogate Town in their last home match, before beating Wimbledon on their travels. With Doncaster struggling to put any sort of run together, particularly on the road, we expect the hosts to run out narrow winners on Tuesday night, in a closely-contested game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 43.39%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 30.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 0-1 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result
Crawley TownDrawDoncaster Rovers
43.39% (0.463 0.46) 26.54% (-0.142 -0.14) 30.07% (-0.318 -0.32)
Both teams to score 50.8% (0.284 0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.19% (0.433 0.43)53.81% (-0.42899999999999 -0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.72% (0.363 0.36)75.28% (-0.35899999999999 -0.36)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.39% (0.43000000000001 0.43)24.61% (-0.425 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.88% (0.595 0.59)59.12% (-0.59 -0.59)
Doncaster Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.39% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)32.61% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.85% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)69.16% (0.012 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 43.39%
    Doncaster Rovers 30.07%
    Draw 26.53%
Crawley TownDrawDoncaster Rovers
1-0 @ 11.25% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 8.84% (0.065999999999999 0.07)
2-0 @ 7.89% (0.061 0.06)
3-1 @ 4.13% (0.081 0.08)
3-0 @ 3.69% (0.073 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.31% (0.045 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.45% (0.046 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.29% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 43.39%
1-1 @ 12.6% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 8.03% (-0.136 -0.14)
2-2 @ 4.95% (0.034999999999999 0.03)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.53%
0-1 @ 8.99% (-0.155 -0.15)
1-2 @ 7.06% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5.04% (-0.088 -0.09)
1-3 @ 2.64% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.88% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.85% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 30.07%

How you voted: Crawley vs Doncaster

Crawley Town
49.0%
Draw
22.4%
Doncaster Rovers
28.6%
49
Head to Head
Sep 24, 2022 3pm
Doncaster
4-1
Crawley
Olowu (40'), Miller (59' pen., 67'), Hurst (83')
Tilley (42')
Tilley (30')
Mar 4, 2017 3pm
Crawley
0-0
Doncaster

McNerney (54'), Smith (55'), Boldewijn (83'), Young (93')

Baudry (63'), Alcock (93')
Aug 13, 2016 3pm
Doncaster
1-1
Crawley
Coppinger (49')
Houghton (83')
Collins (26')
Davey (89'), Smith (92'), Blackman (95')
Feb 10, 2015 7.45pm
Crawley
0-5
Doncaster

Edwards (26'), Wordsworth (62')
Walsh (67')
Butler (38'), Wellens (56'), Tyson (64'), Forrester (73'), Main (91')
Stevens (20'), Tyson (67')
Sep 16, 2014 7.45pm
Doncaster
0-0
Crawley

Bennett (35')

Leacock (52'), Sadler (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall21144339192046
2Port Vale2210752721637
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2210663126536
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe219842518735
5AFC Wimbledon21104732181434
6Chesterfield2297636251134
7Notts County219753021934
8Grimsby Town22111103034-434
9Salford City219662519633
10Bradford CityBradford218762623331
11MK Dons209383328530
12Bromley217953025530
13Gillingham219392220230
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham228683131030
15Colchester UnitedColchester2151152522326
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood206862625126
17BarrowBarrow217592021-126
18Newport CountyNewport217592936-726
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2263131834-1621
21Swindon TownSwindon2248102736-920
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Morecambe2245132038-1817
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2136121533-1815
> League Two Full Table


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