League Two | Gameweek 27
Mar 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Crawley1 - 1Doncaster
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 0-1 Crawley
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 3-1 Doncaster
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League Two
We said: Crawley Town 1-0 Doncaster Rovers
Crawley appear to have turned a corner in recent weeks, running out comprehensive 3-1 winners against Harrogate Town in their last home match, before beating Wimbledon on their travels. With Doncaster struggling to put any sort of run together, particularly on the road, we expect the hosts to run out narrow winners on Tuesday night, in a closely-contested game. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 43.39%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 30.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 0-1 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crawley Town | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
43.39% ( 0.46) | 26.54% ( -0.14) | 30.07% ( -0.32) |
| Both teams to score 50.8% ( 0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
