League Two

League Two | Gameweek 28

Feb 6, 2021 at 3pm UK

The People's Pension Stadium

Crawley
1 - 3
Harrogate

Dallison (54')
Nichols (32')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Martin (13'), March (30' pen.), Power (45+3')
McPake (42')
Smith (67')

The Match

Match Report

Former reality TV star Mark Wright made his first start for Crawley but was replaced at half-time of a 3-1 defeat.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 41.92%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 32.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 0-1 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result
Crawley Town	Draw	Harrogate Town
41.92%	25.82%	32.26%

Both teams to score 54%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.9%

50.1%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.93%

72.07%

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.29%

23.71%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.17%

57.83%

Harrogate Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.78%

29.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.83%

65.16%

Score Analysis

Crawley Town 41.92%

Harrogate Town 32.26%

Draw 25.81%

Crawley Town	Draw	Harrogate Town
1-0 @ 9.97% 2-1 @ 8.83% 2-0 @ 7.18% 3-1 @ 4.24% 3-0 @ 3.44% 3-2 @ 2.61% 4-1 @ 1.52% 4-0 @ 1.24% 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.96% Total : 41.92%	1-1 @ 12.26% 0-0 @ 6.93% 2-2 @ 5.43% 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.81%	0-1 @ 8.52% 1-2 @ 7.55% 0-2 @ 5.24% 1-3 @ 3.1% 2-3 @ 2.23% 0-3 @ 2.15% 1-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.52% Total : 32.26%