Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 40.44%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 33.34% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 0-1 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.
