League Two

League Two | Gameweek 23

Dec 22, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Alexandra Stadium

Crewe
1 - 3
Barrow

Nevitt (58')
Nevitt (40'), Baker-Richardson (64'), Demetriou (66'), Thomas (68')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Whitfield (27', 76'), Garner (50' pen.)
Spence (34'), White (61'), Farman (84'), Gotts (90')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Crewe Alexandra and Barrow, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Crewe 3-3 Accrington
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Barrow

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Swindon 0-3 Barrow
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

We said: Crewe Alexandra 1-1 Barrow

It is the third-best home record in the division this season meeting the strongest away from home, so it is shaping up to be a fascinating affair. Both managers will be wary of losing, which could create a cagey match, and we are expecting the points to be shared on Friday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 49.61%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 26.71% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.15%) and 0-2 (7.92%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 2-1 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barrow would win this match.

Result
Crewe Alexandra	Draw	Barrow
26.71% ( -0.06)	23.68% ( -0.02)	49.61% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 57.73% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.32% (

0.05)

43.67% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.93% (

0.05)

66.07% (

-0.05)

Crewe Alexandra Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.16% (

-0.02)

29.84% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.07% (

-0.02)

65.93% (

0.03)

Barrow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.28% (

0.06)

17.71% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.62% (

0.1)

48.38% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Crewe Alexandra 26.71%

Barrow 49.61%

Draw 23.68%

Crewe Alexandra	Draw	Barrow
2-1 @ 6.69% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.39% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 3.87% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.7% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.33% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.18% Total : 26.71%	1-1 @ 11.06% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.79% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.29% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( 0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.68%	1-2 @ 9.58% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 9.15% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.92% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 5.52% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 4.57% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.34% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.39% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.98% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.72% Total : 49.61%