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AFC Wimbledon
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Barrow
Bradford City
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Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
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Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
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Walsall
Crewe Alexandra
League Two | Gameweek 23
Dec 22, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
Barrow

Crewe
1 - 3
Barrow

Nevitt (58')
Nevitt (40'), Baker-Richardson (64'), Demetriou (66'), Thomas (68')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Whitfield (27', 76'), Garner (50' pen.)
Spence (34'), White (61'), Farman (84'), Gotts (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Crewe Alexandra and Barrow, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swindon 0-3 Barrow
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Crewe Alexandra 1-1 Barrow

It is the third-best home record in the division this season meeting the strongest away from home, so it is shaping up to be a fascinating affair. Both managers will be wary of losing, which could create a cagey match, and we are expecting the points to be shared on Friday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 49.61%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 26.71% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.15%) and 0-2 (7.92%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 2-1 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barrow would win this match.

Result
Crewe AlexandraDrawBarrow
26.71% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06) 23.68% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02) 49.61% (0.087999999999994 0.09)
Both teams to score 57.73% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.32% (0.055 0.05)43.67% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.93% (0.055 0.05)66.07% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.16% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)29.84% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.07% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)65.93% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Barrow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.28% (0.055000000000007 0.06)17.71% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.62% (0.096000000000004 0.1)48.38% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Crewe Alexandra 26.71%
    Barrow 49.61%
    Draw 23.68%
Crewe AlexandraDrawBarrow
2-1 @ 6.69% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.39% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-0 @ 3.87% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.7% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.33% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 1.56% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 26.71%
1-1 @ 11.06% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.79% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 5.29% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.35% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.68%
1-2 @ 9.58% (0.0059999999999985 0.01)
0-1 @ 9.15% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.92% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.52% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.57% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.34% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.39% (0.01 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.98% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.45% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 49.61%

How you voted: Crewe vs Barrow

Crewe Alexandra
28.6%
Draw
14.3%
Barrow
57.1%
14
Head to Head
Apr 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 40
Crewe
3-0
Barrow
Agyei (14' pen., 33' pen.), Long (89')
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 17
Barrow
3-0
Crewe
Waters (8'), Gordon (43', 60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall24174348212755
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe251110433221143
3Salford City24126629191042
4Port Vale2511862925441
5AFC Wimbledon23124735191640
6Notts County24117638261240
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster2511773530540
8Bradford CityBradford2410863327638
9Grimsby Town25121123640-437
10Chesterfield249783829934
11MK Dons2310493631534
12Bromley2481063530534
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham2587103438-431
14Gillingham2393112224-230
15BarrowBarrow2477102326-328
16Harrogate TownHarrogate2684142337-1428
17Fleetwood TownFleetwood226972828027
18Colchester UnitedColchester2451272828027
19Newport CountyNewport2375113040-1026
20Accrington StanleyAccrington2367103240-825
21Swindon TownSwindon26510113141-1025
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2467111837-1925
23Morecambe2455142239-1720
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2446141938-1918


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