League Two

League Two | Gameweek 22

Dec 16, 2023 at 3pm UK

County Ground

Swindon
0 - 3
Barrow

Kinsella (65')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Spence (34'), Foley (58'), Chester (73')
Garner (83')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the League Two clash between Swindon Town and Barrow.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 4-0 Swindon
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Barrow

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Maidstone 2-1 Barrow
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 41.25%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 34.71% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.62%) and 0-2 (6.08%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 2-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barrow would win this match.

Result
Swindon Town	Draw	Barrow
34.71% ( -0.13)	24.04% ( 0.02)	41.25% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 60.95% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.61% (

-0.1)

41.39% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.21% (

-0.1)

63.78% (

0.1)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.45% (

-0.12)

23.55% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.4% (

-0.17)

57.6% (

0.17)

Barrow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.72% (

0.01)

20.28% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.37% (

0.02)

52.63% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Swindon Town 34.71%

Barrow 41.25%

Draw 24.03%

Swindon Town	Draw	Barrow
2-1 @ 7.97% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.9% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.99% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.84% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.06% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.41% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.39% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.04% Total : 34.71%	1-1 @ 11.01% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.36% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.77% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.03%	1-2 @ 8.79% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.62% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 6.08% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 4.68% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.38% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.23% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.87% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.35% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.29% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.97% Total : 41.25%