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Championship header 2

League Two
Harrogate Town
League Two | Gameweek 29
Apr 9, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
CNG Stadium
Grimsby Town

Harrogate
1 - 0
Grimsby Town

Thomson (49')
Abu (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Hume (79'), Artell (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Harrogate Town and Grimsby Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Harrogate Town

All competitions
Last Game: Notts County 3-0 Harrogate
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League Two

Grimsby Town

All competitions
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-0 Newport
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Harrogate Town 2-1 Grimsby Town

 Despite Harrogate's inability to win three home games on the trot in two years, that could change against the club with the division's worst road record. Having also defeated the Mariners in four of the last five meetings, including the 2-1 triumph in the reverse fixture on December 23, the home support should expect another positive outcome against the strugglers. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 39.52%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 35.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-2 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Harrogate Town would win this match.

Result
Harrogate TownDrawGrimsby Town
39.52% (0.082000000000001 0.08) 24.94% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 35.54% (-0.112 -0.11)
Both teams to score 57.85% (-0.114 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.51% (-0.137 -0.14)45.48% (0.132 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.18% (-0.132 -0.13)67.81% (0.12599999999999 0.13)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.12% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)22.87% (0.016000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.38% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)56.61% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75% (-0.13 -0.13)24.99% (0.124 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.35% (-0.178 -0.18)59.64% (0.171 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Harrogate Town 39.52%
    Grimsby Town 35.54%
    Draw 24.93%
Harrogate TownDrawGrimsby Town
2-1 @ 8.63% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.43% (0.044 0.04)
2-0 @ 6.22% (0.029 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.24% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-0 @ 3.06% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.94% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.56%
4-0 @ 1.13% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 39.52%
1-1 @ 11.69% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.98% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.72% (0.032 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.36% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.93%
1-2 @ 8.11% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-1 @ 7.93% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.5% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.75% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.76% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.54% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.3% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.96% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 35.54%

How you voted: Harrogate vs Grimsby Town

Harrogate Town
61.1%
Draw
11.1%
Grimsby Town
27.8%
18
Head to Head
Dec 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 23
Grimsby Town
1-2
Harrogate
Green (90+1')
Artell (0'), Glennon (90+3')
Foulds (41'), Odoh (72')
March (90+4')
> Preview
Feb 21, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 28
Grimsby Town
0-0
Harrogate
> Preview
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 23
Harrogate
3-2
Grimsby Town
Armstrong (12', 76'), Crocombe (90+1' og.)
Khan (29'), Clifton (49')
> Preview
Feb 27, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 32
Harrogate
1-0
Grimsby Town
Beck (77')

Matete (16')
Oct 20, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Grimsby Town
1-2
Harrogate
Tilley (26')
Pollock (45'), Hendrie (48'), Preston (56'), Tilley (61'), Clifton (70')
Muldoon (25', 43')
Thomson (42'), Kerry (73')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall36208865412468
2Bradford CityBradford36199848301866
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster361881053431062
4AFC Wimbledon35179946232360
5Notts County351610953371658
6Port Vale34151364335858
7Crewe AlexandraCrewe36141484437756
8Grimsby Town35175135151056
9Colchester UnitedColchester35121674032852
10Bromley361312114643351
11Salford City351311114337650
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood361213114943649
13Swindon TownSwindon361113125252046
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham351210134650-446
15Chesterfield34129135243945
16BarrowBarrow35127163841-343
17Newport CountyNewport35127164556-1143
18MK Dons35126174650-442
19Gillingham35118163038-841
20Harrogate TownHarrogate36117182945-1640
21Accrington StanleyAccrington3599173954-1536
22Tranmere RoversTranmere36712172755-2833
23Morecambe3685233154-2329
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle3569202551-2627
> League Two Full Table


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