League Two | Gameweek 41
Mar 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Dunes Hotel Stadium
Barrow3 - 1Grimsby Town
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Barrow 1-0 Newport
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-3 Wrexham
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in League Two
We said: Barrow 1-0 Grimsby Town
Barrow's strong home form and Grimsby's away woes favor a home win. Although the away side's need for points adds intrigue, a tight game with Barrow edging it 1-0 is what we expect. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 46.84%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 25.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.26%) and 2-1 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.74%), while for a Grimsby Town win it was 0-1 (9.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barrow would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barrow | Draw | Grimsby Town |
46.84% ( 0.03) | 27.28% ( 0.01) | 25.87% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 46.03% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
