Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 46.76%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.3%) and 2-1 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.77%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (9.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.