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Championship header 2

League Two
Stevenage
League Two | Gameweek 29
Mar 14, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
Crewe Alexandra

Stevenage
1 - 0
Crewe

Reid (79')
Reeves (52'), Rose (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Stevenage and Crewe Alexandra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stevenage

All competitions
Last Game: Stevenage 3-1 Walsall
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League Two

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions
Last Game: Crewe 4-3 Salford City
Friday, March 10 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Stevenage 3-1 Crewe Alexandra

 Stevenage are the more likely side to dominate large proportions of this match and will attempt to dictate play inside their opponents' half. We believe that this game will be littered with goals due to both sides' recent record of goals conceded, but Stevenage will score more than their opponents due to being the superior attacking side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 68.93%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 11.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.7%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.22%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (4.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.

Result
StevenageDrawCrewe Alexandra
68.93% (4.626 4.63) 19.67% (-1.835 -1.84) 11.4% (-2.793 -2.79)
Both teams to score 42.44% (-2.324 -2.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.34% (1.276 1.28)49.66% (-1.278 -1.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.32% (1.132 1.13)71.68% (-1.134 -1.13)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.66% (1.834 1.83)13.33% (-1.837 -1.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.8% (3.576 3.58)40.2% (-3.578 -3.58)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.97% (-3.799 -3.8)51.02% (3.798 3.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.64% (-2.702 -2.7)85.35% (2.699 2.7)
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 68.93%
    Crewe Alexandra 11.4%
    Draw 19.67%
StevenageDrawCrewe Alexandra
2-0 @ 13.81% (1.07 1.07)
1-0 @ 13.7% (0.19 0.19)
2-1 @ 9.29% (-0.265 -0.27)
3-0 @ 9.28% (1.267 1.27)
3-1 @ 6.24% (0.233 0.23)
4-0 @ 4.67% (0.897 0.9)
4-1 @ 3.14% (0.311 0.31)
3-2 @ 2.1% (-0.154 -0.15)
5-0 @ 1.88% (0.459 0.46)
5-1 @ 1.27% (0.198 0.2)
4-2 @ 1.06% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 68.93%
1-1 @ 9.22% (-0.907 -0.91)
0-0 @ 6.8% (-0.36 -0.36)
2-2 @ 3.13% (-0.459 -0.46)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 19.67%
0-1 @ 4.58% (-0.797 -0.8)
1-2 @ 3.1% (-0.699 -0.7)
0-2 @ 1.54% (-0.476 -0.48)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 11.4%

How you voted: Stevenage vs Crewe

Stevenage
82.8%
Draw
10.3%
Crewe Alexandra
6.9%
29
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Crewe
1-2
Stevenage
McDonald (27')
King (41'), Thomas (76'), Baker-Richardson (82')
Reid (48', 67')
Sweeney (37'), Reeves (85')
Mar 7, 2020 3pm
Crewe
3-1
Stevenage
Porter (15'), Kirk (63'), Wintle (67')
Carter (90')
Lakin (57'), Mackail-Smith (75')
Dec 21, 2019 3pm
Stevenage
1-5
Crewe
Cuthbert (84')
Cuthbert (28'), Sonupe (91')
Anene (29', 65'), Finney (32'), Powell (57'), Cuthbert (70' og.)
Dec 29, 2018 3pm
Crewe
1-0
Stevenage
Porter (21' pen.)
Ray (60')

Guthrie (74'), Kennedy (79')
Reid (79')
Oct 20, 2018 3pm
Stevenage
0-1
Crewe

Nugent (12')
Bowery (61')
Ainley (14'), Jones (64'), Kirk (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914
> League Two Full Table


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