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Championship header 2

League Two
Stevenage
League Two | Gameweek 29
Mar 14, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
Crewe Alexandra

Stevenage
1 - 0
Crewe

Reid (79')
Reeves (52'), Rose (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Stevenage and Crewe Alexandra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stevenage

All competitions
Last Game: Stevenage 3-1 Walsall
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League Two

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions
Last Game: Crewe 4-3 Salford City
Friday, March 10 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Stevenage 3-1 Crewe Alexandra

 Stevenage are the more likely side to dominate large proportions of this match and will attempt to dictate play inside their opponents' half. We believe that this game will be littered with goals due to both sides' recent record of goals conceded, but Stevenage will score more than their opponents due to being the superior attacking side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 68.93%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 11.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.7%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.22%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (4.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.

Result
StevenageDrawCrewe Alexandra
68.93% (4.626 4.63) 19.67% (-1.835 -1.84) 11.4% (-2.793 -2.79)
Both teams to score 42.44% (-2.324 -2.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.34% (1.276 1.28)49.66% (-1.278 -1.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.32% (1.132 1.13)71.68% (-1.134 -1.13)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.66% (1.834 1.83)13.33% (-1.837 -1.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.8% (3.576 3.58)40.2% (-3.578 -3.58)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.97% (-3.799 -3.8)51.02% (3.798 3.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.64% (-2.702 -2.7)85.35% (2.699 2.7)
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 68.93%
    Crewe Alexandra 11.4%
    Draw 19.67%
StevenageDrawCrewe Alexandra
2-0 @ 13.81% (1.07 1.07)
1-0 @ 13.7% (0.19 0.19)
2-1 @ 9.29% (-0.265 -0.27)
3-0 @ 9.28% (1.267 1.27)
3-1 @ 6.24% (0.233 0.23)
4-0 @ 4.67% (0.897 0.9)
4-1 @ 3.14% (0.311 0.31)
3-2 @ 2.1% (-0.154 -0.15)
5-0 @ 1.88% (0.459 0.46)
5-1 @ 1.27% (0.198 0.2)
4-2 @ 1.06% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 68.93%
1-1 @ 9.22% (-0.907 -0.91)
0-0 @ 6.8% (-0.36 -0.36)
2-2 @ 3.13% (-0.459 -0.46)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 19.67%
0-1 @ 4.58% (-0.797 -0.8)
1-2 @ 3.1% (-0.699 -0.7)
0-2 @ 1.54% (-0.476 -0.48)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 11.4%

How you voted: Stevenage vs Crewe

Stevenage
82.8%
Draw
10.3%
Crewe Alexandra
6.9%
29
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Crewe
1-2
Stevenage
McDonald (27')
King (41'), Thomas (76'), Baker-Richardson (82')
Reid (48', 67')
Sweeney (37'), Reeves (85')
Mar 7, 2020 3pm
Crewe
3-1
Stevenage
Porter (15'), Kirk (63'), Wintle (67')
Carter (90')
Lakin (57'), Mackail-Smith (75')
Dec 21, 2019 3pm
Stevenage
1-5
Crewe
Cuthbert (84')
Cuthbert (28'), Sonupe (91')
Anene (29', 65'), Finney (32'), Powell (57'), Cuthbert (70' og.)
Dec 29, 2018 3pm
Crewe
1-0
Stevenage
Porter (21' pen.)
Ray (60')

Guthrie (74'), Kennedy (79')
Reid (79')
Oct 20, 2018 3pm
Stevenage
0-1
Crewe

Nugent (12')
Bowery (61')
Ainley (14'), Jones (64'), Kirk (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Steelers
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Browns
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8AFC Wimbledon1472523131023
9Bradford CityBradford166552117423
10Gillingham157261612423
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
17Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
18Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310
> League Two Full Table


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