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Championship header 2

League Two
Stevenage
League Two | Gameweek 29
Mar 14, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
Crewe Alexandra

Stevenage
1 - 0
Crewe

Reid (79')
Reeves (52'), Rose (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Stevenage and Crewe Alexandra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stevenage

All competitions
Last Game: Stevenage 3-1 Walsall
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League Two

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions
Last Game: Crewe 4-3 Salford City
Friday, March 10 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Stevenage 3-1 Crewe Alexandra

 Stevenage are the more likely side to dominate large proportions of this match and will attempt to dictate play inside their opponents' half. We believe that this game will be littered with goals due to both sides' recent record of goals conceded, but Stevenage will score more than their opponents due to being the superior attacking side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 68.93%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 11.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.7%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.22%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (4.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.

Result
StevenageDrawCrewe Alexandra
68.93% (4.626 4.63) 19.67% (-1.835 -1.84) 11.4% (-2.793 -2.79)
Both teams to score 42.44% (-2.324 -2.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.34% (1.276 1.28)49.66% (-1.278 -1.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.32% (1.132 1.13)71.68% (-1.134 -1.13)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.66% (1.834 1.83)13.33% (-1.837 -1.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.8% (3.576 3.58)40.2% (-3.578 -3.58)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.97% (-3.799 -3.8)51.02% (3.798 3.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.64% (-2.702 -2.7)85.35% (2.699 2.7)
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 68.93%
    Crewe Alexandra 11.4%
    Draw 19.67%
StevenageDrawCrewe Alexandra
2-0 @ 13.81% (1.07 1.07)
1-0 @ 13.7% (0.19 0.19)
2-1 @ 9.29% (-0.265 -0.27)
3-0 @ 9.28% (1.267 1.27)
3-1 @ 6.24% (0.233 0.23)
4-0 @ 4.67% (0.897 0.9)
4-1 @ 3.14% (0.311 0.31)
3-2 @ 2.1% (-0.154 -0.15)
5-0 @ 1.88% (0.459 0.46)
5-1 @ 1.27% (0.198 0.2)
4-2 @ 1.06% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 68.93%
1-1 @ 9.22% (-0.907 -0.91)
0-0 @ 6.8% (-0.36 -0.36)
2-2 @ 3.13% (-0.459 -0.46)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 19.67%
0-1 @ 4.58% (-0.797 -0.8)
1-2 @ 3.1% (-0.699 -0.7)
0-2 @ 1.54% (-0.476 -0.48)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 11.4%

How you voted: Stevenage vs Crewe

Stevenage
82.8%
Draw
10.3%
Crewe Alexandra
6.9%
29
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Crewe
1-2
Stevenage
McDonald (27')
King (41'), Thomas (76'), Baker-Richardson (82')
Reid (48', 67')
Sweeney (37'), Reeves (85')
Mar 7, 2020 3pm
Crewe
3-1
Stevenage
Porter (15'), Kirk (63'), Wintle (67')
Carter (90')
Lakin (57'), Mackail-Smith (75')
Dec 21, 2019 3pm
Stevenage
1-5
Crewe
Cuthbert (84')
Cuthbert (28'), Sonupe (91')
Anene (29', 65'), Finney (32'), Powell (57'), Cuthbert (70' og.)
Dec 29, 2018 3pm
Crewe
1-0
Stevenage
Porter (21' pen.)
Ray (60')

Guthrie (74'), Kennedy (79')
Reid (79')
Oct 20, 2018 3pm
Stevenage
0-1
Crewe

Nugent (12')
Bowery (61')
Ainley (14'), Jones (64'), Kirk (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Gillingham9612123919
2Notts County9531178918
3Walsall96031710718
4BarrowBarrow9513116516
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster95131212016
6Fleetwood TownFleetwood8431169715
7Port Vale94321412215
8Grimsby Town95041314-115
9Newport CountyNewport95041517-215
10Chesterfield9342158713
11AFC Wimbledon641194513
12Crewe AlexandraCrewe841389-113
13Bradford CityBradford93331110112
14MK Dons93241211111
15Colchester UnitedColchester92431315-210
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham93151114-310
17Tranmere RoversTranmere824248-410
18Harrogate TownHarrogate9315916-710
19Bromley92341214-29
20Salford City823359-49
21Swindon TownSwindon9144913-47
22Carlisle UnitedCarlisle92071019-96
23Morecambe9045712-54
24Accrington StanleyAccrington8035918-93
> League Two Full Table


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