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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 38.46%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 37.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.44%) and 2-0 (5.66%). The likeliest Barrow win was 1-2 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Crawley Town | Draw | Barrow |
38.46% | 24.21% | 37.32% |
Both teams to score 60.67% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.1% ( 0) | 41.9% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.7% | 64.3% |
Crawley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.18% ( 0) | 21.82% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.96% ( 0) | 55.04% |
Barrow Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.6% | 22.4% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.1% | 55.91% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Crawley Town | Draw | Barrow |
2-1 @ 8.47% 1-0 @ 7.44% 2-0 @ 5.66% 3-1 @ 4.3% 3-2 @ 3.22% 3-0 @ 2.87% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.64% 4-2 @ 1.22% 4-0 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.55% Total : 38.47% | 1-1 @ 11.13% 2-2 @ 6.34% 0-0 @ 4.89% 3-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.21% | 1-2 @ 8.33% 0-1 @ 7.31% 0-2 @ 5.47% 1-3 @ 4.15% 2-3 @ 3.16% 0-3 @ 2.73% 1-4 @ 1.55% 2-4 @ 1.18% 0-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.41% Total : 37.32% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
9 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 22 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 17 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
> League Two Full Table |