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Championship header 2

League Two
Notts County
League Two | Gameweek 42
Apr 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
Meadow Lane Stadium
MK Dons

Notts County
3 - 3
MK Dons

Austin (45+4'), Jatta (48'), Nemane (90+1')
Langstaff (58'), Robertson (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Dean (19'), Harrison (64', 83')
Norman (39'), Bate (39'), Harvie (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Notts County and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Notts County

All competitions
Last Game: Swindon 2-1 Notts County
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League Two

MK Dons

All competitions
Last Game: MK Dons 5-0 Walsall
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Notts County 1-2 MK Dons

 Defensively, Notts County have struggled to hold it together throughout the year, and they are catching MK Dons at a bad time, with the visitors fresh off an emphatic victory last week, while the Dons have the added motivation of being in the thick of the race for a spot in League One. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 39.33%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 38.19% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.54%) and 2-0 (4.81%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 1-2 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result
Notts CountyDrawMK Dons
39.33% (0.25700000000001 0.26) 22.47% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04) 38.19% (-0.22 -0.22)
Both teams to score 67.47% (0.134 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.89% (0.17399999999999 0.17)33.11% (-0.174 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.15% (0.201 0.2)54.85% (-0.202 -0.2)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.38% (0.185 0.19)17.61% (-0.185 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.8% (0.32 0.32)48.2% (-0.32 -0.32)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.89% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)18.11% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.95% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)49.05% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Notts County 39.33%
    MK Dons 38.19%
    Draw 22.47%
Notts CountyDrawMK Dons
2-1 @ 8.22% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 5.54% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-0 @ 4.81% (0.014 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.76% (0.039 0.04)
3-2 @ 4.06% (0.03 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.78% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.07% (0.029 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.76% (0.023 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.21% (0.017 0.02)
4-3 @ 1.01% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 39.33%
1-1 @ 9.46% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 7.02% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.19% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-3 @ 2.32% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 22.47%
1-2 @ 8.09% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-1 @ 5.45% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
0-2 @ 4.66% (-0.049 -0.05)
1-3 @ 4.61% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-3 @ 4% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 2.65% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.97% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.71%
0-4 @ 1.13% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-4 @ 0.99% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 38.19%

How you voted: Notts County vs MK Dons

Notts County
20.0%
Draw
13.3%
MK Dons
66.7%
15
Head to Head
Sep 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 7
MK Dons
1-1
Notts County
Harvie (46')
Smith (90+1')
Cameron (66')
> Preview
Apr 19, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 43
Notts County
1-2
MK Dons
Barclay (94')
Mackail-Smith (73')
Wheeler (62'), Aneke (85')
Oct 23, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
MK Dons
2-1
Notts County
Aneke (60' pen.), Healey (69')
Gilbey (6')
Alessandra (23')
Hemmings (17'), Ward (45'), Evina (45')
Turley (58')
Mar 21, 2015 3pm
MK Dons
4-1
Notts County
Baker (63'), Baker (74'), Grigg (84', 93')
Randall (90')
Whitehouse (79')
Whitehouse (51'), Smith (57'), Spencer (97')
Dec 26, 2014 3pm
Notts County
0-1
MK Dons

McLaughlin (68')
Powell (31')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall19124335191640
2Port Vale2010642619736
3Crewe AlexandraCrewe199732416834
4AFC Wimbledon19103631161533
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster209652823533
6Chesterfield2087535231231
7Grimsby Town2010192730-331
8MK Dons1893630201030
9Gillingham199282016429
10Bradford CityBradford197752419528
11Notts County197752521428
12Salford City197662019127
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham207582728-126
14Bromley195952323024
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood185852423123
16BarrowBarrow196581818023
17Newport CountyNewport196582128-723
18Colchester UnitedColchester1941052322122
19Tranmere RoversTranmere195681426-1221
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2063111730-1321
21Accrington StanleyAccrington194782634-819
22Swindon TownSwindon2037102334-1116
23Morecambe2035121936-1714
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1935111532-1714
> League Two Full Table


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