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Championship header 2

League Two
Notts County
League Two | Gameweek 42
Apr 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
Meadow Lane Stadium
MK Dons

Notts County
3 - 3
MK Dons

Austin (45+4'), Jatta (48'), Nemane (90+1')
Langstaff (58'), Robertson (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Dean (19'), Harrison (64', 83')
Norman (39'), Bate (39'), Harvie (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Notts County and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Notts County

All competitions
Last Game: Swindon 2-1 Notts County
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League Two

MK Dons

All competitions
Last Game: MK Dons 5-0 Walsall
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Notts County 1-2 MK Dons

 Defensively, Notts County have struggled to hold it together throughout the year, and they are catching MK Dons at a bad time, with the visitors fresh off an emphatic victory last week, while the Dons have the added motivation of being in the thick of the race for a spot in League One. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 39.33%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 38.19% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.54%) and 2-0 (4.81%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 1-2 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result
Notts CountyDrawMK Dons
39.33% (0.25700000000001 0.26) 22.47% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04) 38.19% (-0.22 -0.22)
Both teams to score 67.47% (0.134 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.89% (0.17399999999999 0.17)33.11% (-0.174 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.15% (0.201 0.2)54.85% (-0.202 -0.2)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.38% (0.185 0.19)17.61% (-0.185 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.8% (0.32 0.32)48.2% (-0.32 -0.32)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.89% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)18.11% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.95% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)49.05% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Notts County 39.33%
    MK Dons 38.19%
    Draw 22.47%
Notts CountyDrawMK Dons
2-1 @ 8.22% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 5.54% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-0 @ 4.81% (0.014 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.76% (0.039 0.04)
3-2 @ 4.06% (0.03 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.78% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.07% (0.029 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.76% (0.023 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.21% (0.017 0.02)
4-3 @ 1.01% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 39.33%
1-1 @ 9.46% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 7.02% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.19% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-3 @ 2.32% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 22.47%
1-2 @ 8.09% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-1 @ 5.45% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
0-2 @ 4.66% (-0.049 -0.05)
1-3 @ 4.61% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-3 @ 4% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 2.65% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.97% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.71%
0-4 @ 1.13% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-4 @ 0.99% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 38.19%

How you voted: Notts County vs MK Dons

Notts County
20.0%
Draw
13.3%
MK Dons
66.7%
15
Head to Head
Sep 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 7
MK Dons
1-1
Notts County
Harvie (46')
Smith (90+1')
Cameron (66')
> Preview
Apr 19, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 43
Notts County
1-2
MK Dons
Barclay (94')
Mackail-Smith (73')
Wheeler (62'), Aneke (85')
Oct 23, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
MK Dons
2-1
Notts County
Aneke (60' pen.), Healey (69')
Gilbey (6')
Alessandra (23')
Hemmings (17'), Ward (45'), Evina (45')
Turley (58')
Mar 21, 2015 3pm
MK Dons
4-1
Notts County
Baker (63'), Baker (74'), Grigg (84', 93')
Randall (90')
Whitehouse (79')
Whitehouse (51'), Smith (57'), Spencer (97')
Dec 26, 2014 3pm
Notts County
0-1
MK Dons

McLaughlin (68')
Powell (31')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8Bradford CityBradford166552117423
9Gillingham157261612423
10AFC Wimbledon1371521111022
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
17Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
18Accrington StanleyAccrington154562024-417
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310
> League Two Full Table


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