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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 39.33%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 38.19% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.54%) and 2-0 (4.81%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 1-2 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Notts County | Draw | MK Dons |
39.33% ( 0.26) | 22.47% ( -0.04) | 38.19% ( -0.22) |
Both teams to score 67.47% ( 0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.89% ( 0.17) | 33.11% ( -0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.15% ( 0.2) | 54.85% ( -0.2) |
Notts County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.38% ( 0.19) | 17.61% ( -0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.8% ( 0.32) | 48.2% ( -0.32) |
MK Dons Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.89% ( -0.02) | 18.11% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.95% ( -0.04) | 49.05% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Notts County | Draw | MK Dons |
2-1 @ 8.22% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 5.54% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 4.81% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.76% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 4.06% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.78% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.07% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.76% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.02) 4-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.12% Total : 39.33% | 1-1 @ 9.46% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 7.02% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.19% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.48% Total : 22.47% | 1-2 @ 8.09% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 5.45% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 4.61% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 4% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.97% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.71% 0-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) 3-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.94% Total : 38.19% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Gillingham | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 19 |
2 | Notts County | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 18 |
3 | Walsall | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 18 |
4 | BarrowBarrow | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 16 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 16 |
6 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 15 |
7 | Port Vale | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 15 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
9 | Newport CountyNewport | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 15 |
10 | Chesterfield | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 13 |
11 | AFC Wimbledon | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 13 |
12 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 13 |
13 | Bradford CityBradford | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 12 |
14 | MK Dons | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 11 |
15 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 10 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 10 |
17 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 10 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 10 |
19 | Bromley | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 9 |
20 | Salford City | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 9 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 7 |
22 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 6 |
23 | Morecambe | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 4 |
24 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 3 |
> League Two Full Table |