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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 44.38%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 32.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.16%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 1-2 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Crawley Town | Draw | Colchester United |
44.38% ( -0.01) | 23.24% ( 0.02) | 32.38% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 63.09% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.75% ( -0.09) | 38.25% ( 0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.47% ( -0.09) | 60.53% ( 0.1) |
Crawley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.35% ( -0.04) | 17.65% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.73% ( -0.07) | 48.27% ( 0.07) |
Colchester United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.62% ( -0.05) | 23.38% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.64% ( -0.07) | 57.36% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Crawley Town | Draw | Colchester United |
2-1 @ 9.02% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.16% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.21% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.21% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.59% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.26% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.56% ( -0) Other @ 3.94% Total : 44.38% | 1-1 @ 10.4% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.55% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.13% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.24% | 1-2 @ 7.56% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.36% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.66% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.11% 1-4 @ 1.33% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 3.04% Total : 32.38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Walsall | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 30 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 29 |
4 | Notts County | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 28 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
6 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Chesterfield | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 25 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 25 |
9 | AFC Wimbledon | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 23 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Gillingham | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 23 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 21 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 21 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
19 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 17 |
20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 17 |
21 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 13 |
23 | Morecambe | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 13 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 13 |
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