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Championship header 2

League Two
MK Dons
League Two | Gameweek 27
Feb 20, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadium mk
Wrexham AFC

MK Dons
1 - 1
Wrexham

Kemp (26')
Harvie (83'), Gilbey (90+5'), O'Hora (90+8')
Lewington (59')
FT(HT: 1-1)
McClean (22')
Boyle (48'), O'Connell (62')
Boyle (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between MK Dons and Wrexham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

MK Dons

All competitions
Last Game: Swindon 1-2 MK Dons
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in League Two

Wrexham

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Wrexham 1-0 Notts County
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in League Two

We said: MK Dons 1-1 Wrexham

 It is difficult to ignore the home form of MK Dons and away form of Wrexham when choosing a result on Tuesday night. A case can be made for either to win it, but we believe that two quality sides will end up with a point each, which both managers would likely accept ahead of kickoff. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 53.1%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 24.25% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 1-2 (6.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
MK DonsDrawWrexham
53.1% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 22.65% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 24.25% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 58.74% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.81% (0.024999999999999 0.02)41.19% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.41% (0.024999999999999 0.02)63.58% (-0.023999999999994 -0.02)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.45% (0.017999999999986 0.02)15.54% (-0.016 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.52% (0.030000000000001 0.03)44.48% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.55% (0.0020000000000095 0)30.45% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)66.66% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 53.1%
    Wrexham 24.25%
    Draw 22.64%
MK DonsDrawWrexham
2-1 @ 9.75%
1-0 @ 8.81% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.2%
3-1 @ 6.05% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-0 @ 5.09% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.6% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-1 @ 2.82% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-0 @ 2.37% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-2 @ 1.68% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.05% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 53.1%
1-1 @ 10.47% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.8% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 4.73% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.43% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.64%
1-2 @ 6.23% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-1 @ 5.63% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.47% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2.3%
0-3 @ 1.33% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 24.25%

How you voted: MK Dons vs Wrexham

MK Dons
41.0%
Draw
17.9%
Wrexham
41.0%
39
Head to Head
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
Wrexham
3-5
MK Dons
Mendy (42'), Davies (82'), Forde (90+6')
Lee (23'), O'Connell (24')
O'Connell (6' og.), Eisa (10'), Leko (51', 64'), Harvie (90+4')
Eisa (11'), Norman (68'), MacGillivray (84')
> Preview
Apr 8, 2008 3pm
MK Dons
4-1
Wrexham
O'Hanlon (75'), Swailes (2'), Wilbraham (10', 90')
Lewington (36'), Navarro (46'), Gueret (59'), Regan (60'), Miles (83')
Roberts (59' pen.)
Roberts (26'), Bolland (33')
Jan 19, 2008 3pm
Wrexham
1-0
MK Dons
Roberts (71')
Evans (49'), Nicholson (56'), Spender (79')

Wilbraham (64'), Johnson (83')
Mar 17, 2007 3pm
MK Dons
2-1
Wrexham
Andrews (38' pen.), Platt (85')
Dyer (52')
McEvilly (12')
Roche (18'), Garrett (37'), McEvilly (43')
Roche (36')
Oct 14, 2006 3pm
Wrexham
1-2
MK Dons
Roberts (20')
Done (64'), Evans (69'), Jones (88'), Mackin (90')
O'Hanlon (77')
O'Hanlon (22')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall19124335191640
2Port Vale2010642619736
3Crewe AlexandraCrewe199732416834
4AFC Wimbledon19103631161533
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster209652823533
6Chesterfield2087535231231
7Grimsby Town2010192730-331
8MK Dons1893630201030
9Gillingham199282016429
10Bradford CityBradford197752419528
11Notts County197752521428
12Salford City197662019127
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham207582728-126
14Bromley195952323024
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood185852423123
16BarrowBarrow196581818023
17Newport CountyNewport196582128-723
18Colchester UnitedColchester1941052322122
19Tranmere RoversTranmere195681426-1221
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2063111730-1321
21Accrington StanleyAccrington194782634-819
22Swindon TownSwindon2037102334-1116
23Morecambe2035121936-1714
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1935111532-1714
> League Two Full Table


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