EFL Trophy | Group Stage

Nov 14, 2023 at 7pm UK

Bloomfield Road

Blackpool
2 - 1
Morecambe

Beesley (21', 46')
Miles (41'), Mariette (45')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Rawson (90+2')
Slew (50')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Blackpool and Morecambe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Blackpool

All competitions

EFL Trophy

Last Game: Bolton 1-0 Blackpool
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Morecambe

All competitions

EFL Trophy

Last Game: Grimsby Town 3-2 Morecambe
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Blackpool 1-0 Morecambe

Morecambe need to avoid defeat in order to advance to the second round, but we are expecting Blackpool to win this match. The hosts will make wholesale changes to their usual side, but it should still be strong enough to pick up another victory in the competition. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackpool win with a probability of 53.24%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 23.68% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackpool win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-2 (6.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Blackpool in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Blackpool.

Result
Blackpool	Draw	Morecambe
53.24% ( -0.01)	23.07%	23.68% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 56.61% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.29% (

0.01)

43.71% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.9% (

0.01)

66.1% (

-0.01)

Blackpool Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.6%

16.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.96%

46.04% (

-0)

Morecambe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.7% (

0.01)

32.29% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.2% (

0.02)

68.79% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Blackpool 53.24%

Morecambe 23.68%

Draw 23.07%

Blackpool	Draw	Morecambe
2-1 @ 9.78% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.57% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.66% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.9% 3-0 @ 5.22% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.33% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.67% 4-0 @ 2.36% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.51% ( 0) 5-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.29% Total : 53.24%	1-1 @ 10.82% 2-2 @ 5.53% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.29% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.07%	1-2 @ 6.12% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.98% 0-2 @ 3.38% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.3% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.08% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.27% ( 0) Other @ 2.54% Total : 23.68%