MX23RW : Sunday, December 22 16:35:57| >> :600:581976:581976:
Blackpool
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Nov 14, 2023 at 7pm UK
Bloomfield Road
Morecambe

Blackpool
2 - 1
Morecambe

Beesley (21', 46')
Miles (41'), Mariette (45')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Rawson (90+2')
Slew (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Blackpool and Morecambe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bolton 1-0 Blackpool
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Grimsby Town 3-2 Morecambe
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Blackpool 1-0 Morecambe

Morecambe need to avoid defeat in order to advance to the second round, but we are expecting Blackpool to win this match. The hosts will make wholesale changes to their usual side, but it should still be strong enough to pick up another victory in the competition. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackpool win with a probability of 53.24%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 23.68% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackpool win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-2 (6.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Blackpool in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Blackpool.

Result
BlackpoolDrawMorecambe
53.24% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 23.07%23.68% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 56.61% (0.011999999999993 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.29% (0.009999999999998 0.01)43.71% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.9% (0.010999999999996 0.01)66.1% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Blackpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.6%16.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.96%46.04% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.7% (0.01400000000001 0.01)32.29% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.2% (0.015000000000001 0.02)68.79% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Blackpool 53.24%
    Morecambe 23.68%
    Draw 23.07%
BlackpoolDrawMorecambe
2-1 @ 9.78% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-0 @ 9.57% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.66% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
3-1 @ 5.9%
3-0 @ 5.22% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-2 @ 3.33% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 2.67%
4-0 @ 2.36% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.51% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 0.96%
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 53.24%
1-1 @ 10.82%
2-2 @ 5.53% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 5.29% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-3 @ 1.26% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.07%
1-2 @ 6.12% (0.0029999999999992 0)
0-1 @ 5.98%
0-2 @ 3.38% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 2.3% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.08% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 1.27% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 23.68%

How you voted: Blackpool vs Morecambe

Blackpool
70.4%
Draw
22.2%
Morecambe
7.4%
27
Head to Head
Jul 31, 2021 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Morecambe
1-1
Blackpool
McDonald (19')
Hamilton (56')
Nov 9, 2019 3pm
First Round
Blackpool
4-1
Morecambe
Delfouneso (9'), Gnanduillet (24'), Virtue (45'), Kaikai (84')
Kaikai (45')
O'Sullivan (27'), Conlan (35'), Tanner (49'), Wildig (53')
Sep 3, 2019 7.30pm
Group Stage
Blackpool
5-1
Morecambe
Heneghan (4'), Nottingham (45'), Hardie (51'), Kaikai (89'), Nuttall (91')
Ellison (22')
Sutton (84')
Mar 4, 2017 3pm
Blackpool
3-1
Morecambe
Cullen (14'), Potts (54'), Edwards (80' og.)
Daniel (63')
Evans (83')
Murphy (55'), Roche (88')
Aug 13, 2016 3pm
Morecambe
2-1
Blackpool
Dunn (45' pen.), Rose (76')
Wakefield (41'), Rose (70')
Potts (23')
Taylor (4'), Robertson (59')
rhs 2.0
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