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Newtown logo
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 11
Oct 4, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
G.F. Grigg Latham Park

Newtown
2 - 4
Flint Town

Oswell (43'), Ismail (77')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Lambert (9'), Lee (17'), Reeves (58'), Jones (88')
Sanogo Fofana (44'), Yonsian (52'), Hughes (59'), Phillips (76')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and Flint Town United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newtown AFC

All competitions
Last Game: Newtown 1-6 New Saints
Friday, September 27 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Flint Town United

All competitions
Last Game: Flint Town 0-1 Pen-y-Bont
Saturday, September 28 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flint Town United win with a probability of 42.86%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 34.13% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flint Town United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.59%) and 0-2 (5.74%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 2-1 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flint Town United would win this match.

Result
Newtown AFCDrawFlint Town United
34.13% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03) 23.01%42.86% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 64.65% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.51% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)36.49% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.37% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)58.63% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.41% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)21.59% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.32% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)54.68% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Flint Town United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.45% (0.012999999999991 0.01)17.55% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.91% (0.018999999999998 0.02)48.09% (-0.014999999999993 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Newtown AFC 34.13%
    Flint Town United 42.87%
    Draw 23%
Newtown AFCDrawFlint Town United
2-1 @ 7.75% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-0 @ 5.81% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 4.45% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 3.96% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 3.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 2.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.52% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.32% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 34.13%
1-1 @ 10.1%
2-2 @ 6.74% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 3.79% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-3 @ 2% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 23%
1-2 @ 8.79% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-1 @ 6.59% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 5.74% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.1% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-3 @ 3.91%
0-3 @ 3.33% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 2.22% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-4 @ 1.7% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.45% (0.002 0)
Other @ 4.04%
Total : 42.87%

Head to Head
Nov 19, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 15
Flint Town
1-4
Newtown
Cadwallader (35')
Cowans (62'), Ismail (68'), Walker (84'), Williams (90')
Aug 19, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Newtown
0-2
Flint Town

Sears (73')
Harrison (3'), Simmonds (35')
Owen (54'), Simmonds (62'), Ibrahim (71'), Beaumont (81')
Owen (72')
Apr 23, 2022 12.45pm
Gameweek 10
Flint Town
1-1
Newtown
Jones (90')
Harrison (38'), Cadwallader (60'), Maher (61')
Williams (51')
Apr 2, 2022 12.45pm
Gameweek 5
Newtown
2-1
Flint Town
Williams (12', 45+1' pen.)
Sutton (4')
Cadwallader (51')
Nash (45')
Jones (54')
Dec 18, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 17
Newtown
2-0
Flint Town
Williams (36' pen.), Walker (64')
Mills-Evans (27')

Harrison (18'), Roberts (20'), Rushton (35'), Edwards (72')
Wilde (56')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
7Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
9Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
11Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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