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Salford City
League Two | Gameweek 38
Mar 14, 2024 at 8pm UK
The Peninsula Stadium
Stockport County

Salford City
2 - 2
Stockport

Garbutt (8'), Tilt (39')
Garbutt (25'), Luamba (45+5'), Watson (66'), John (71')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Touray (51'), Olaofe (64')
Horsfall (49'), Touray (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League Two clash between Salford City and Stockport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: MK Dons 3-1 Salford City
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Stockport 1-0 Newport
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Salford City 1-3 Stockport County

Stockport have already enjoyed success at the Peninsula Stadium this season, and we think that they will take advantage of a leaky Salford defence to claim another away victory over the Ammies. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 48.74%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 28.81% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.06%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Salford City win was 2-1 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
Salford CityDrawStockport County
28.81% (0.634 0.63) 22.44% (0.071999999999999 0.07) 48.74% (-0.708 -0.71)
Both teams to score 63.89% (0.233 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.69% (0.097999999999999 0.1)36.31% (-0.099999999999994 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.56% (0.107 0.11)58.43% (-0.107 -0.11)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.41% (0.459 0.46)24.58% (-0.462 -0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.92% (0.641 0.64)59.08% (-0.64100000000001 -0.64)
Stockport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.72% (-0.209 -0.21)15.28% (0.209 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.02% (-0.393 -0.39)43.98% (0.391 0.39)
Score Analysis
    Salford City 28.81%
    Stockport County 48.74%
    Draw 22.44%
Salford CityDrawStockport County
2-1 @ 6.95% (0.1 0.1)
1-0 @ 5.27% (0.044 0.04)
2-0 @ 3.7% (0.08 0.08)
3-1 @ 3.25% (0.089 0.09)
3-2 @ 3.05% (0.062 0.06)
3-0 @ 1.73% (0.06 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.14% (0.046 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.07% (0.035 0.04)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 28.81%
1-1 @ 9.9% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.53% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 3.76% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.91% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 22.44%
1-2 @ 9.3% (-0.055999999999999 -0.06)
0-1 @ 7.06% (-0.087 -0.09)
0-2 @ 6.63% (-0.13 -0.13)
1-3 @ 5.83% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
0-3 @ 4.15% (-0.112 -0.11)
2-3 @ 4.09%
1-4 @ 2.74% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-4 @ 1.95% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1.92% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.03% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 4.06%
Total : 48.74%

How you voted: Salford City vs Stockport

Salford City
24.3%
Draw
10.8%
Stockport County
64.9%
37
Head to Head
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Stockport
0-0
Salford City
Croasdale (61'), Southam-Hales (76')
Tilt (34'), N'Mai (58')
Oct 10, 2023 7.30pm
Group Stage
Salford City
1-3
Stockport
Dackers (3')
Mallan (16'), Pedro (29')
Madden (20' pen., 52', 67')
Pond (72')
May 20, 2023 12.30pm
Stockport
2-1
Salford City
Stockport win 3-1 on penalties
Olaofe (68'), Stretton (115')
Horsfall (19'), Camps (29'), Olaofe (34'), Rydel (66'), Sarcevic (75'), Knoyle (85'), Hippolyte (90+5')
Mallan (112')
Touray (49'), Watt (103')
May 13, 2023 7.45pm
Mar 31, 2023 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914


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