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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 38.39%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 38.11% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.62%) and 0-2 (5.27%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 2-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.
Result | ||
Swindon Town | Draw | Stockport County |
38.11% ( -0) | 23.5% ( -0) | 38.39% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 63.4% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.63% ( 0.02) | 38.36% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.35% ( 0.02) | 60.65% ( -0.02) |
Swindon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.55% ( 0.01) | 20.44% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.11% ( 0.01) | 52.89% ( -0.02) |
Stockport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.69% ( 0.01) | 20.3% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.32% ( 0.02) | 52.67% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Swindon Town | Draw | Stockport County |
2-1 @ 8.34% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.59% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.23% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.41% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.52% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.77% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.75% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.4% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.1% Other @ 3% Total : 38.11% | 1-1 @ 10.5% 2-2 @ 6.65% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.15% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.87% ( 0) Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.5% | 1-2 @ 8.37% 0-1 @ 6.62% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.27% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.45% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.53% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.8% 1-4 @ 1.77% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.41% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 3.04% Total : 38.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
9 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 22 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 17 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
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