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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 45.97%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 29.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sutton United would win this match.
Result | ||
Sutton United | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
45.97% ( 0.04) | 24.88% ( -0.01) | 29.15% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 55.56% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.62% ( 0.04) | 47.38% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.4% ( 0.04) | 69.6% ( -0.03) |
Sutton United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.34% ( 0.03) | 20.66% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.76% ( 0.05) | 53.25% ( -0.05) |
Accrington Stanley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.03% ( 0) | 29.97% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.92% ( 0.01) | 66.08% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Sutton United | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
1-0 @ 9.77% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.28% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.7% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.88% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.05% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.92% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.6% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0) Other @ 2.7% Total : 45.97% | 1-1 @ 11.76% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.19% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.59% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.87% | 0-1 @ 7.46% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.09% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.85% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.25% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.81% ( -0) Other @ 3.21% Total : 29.15% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Gillingham | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 19 |
2 | Walsall | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 18 |
3 | BarrowBarrow | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 16 |
4 | Notts County | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
5 | Port Vale | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 13 |
7 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 13 |
8 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 13 |
9 | Chesterfield | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 12 |
10 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 12 |
11 | Grimsby Town | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 12 |
12 | Newport CountyNewport | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 12 |
13 | Bradford CityBradford | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 11 |
14 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
15 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 9 |
16 | Salford City | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 9 |
17 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 9 |
18 | Bromley | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 8 |
19 | MK Dons | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 8 |
20 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 7 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 6 |
22 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 6 |
23 | Morecambe | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3 |
24 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 3 |
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