Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Angers win with a probability of 39.16%. A win for Ajaccio had a probability of 31.69% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Angers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.79%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Ajaccio win was 0-1 (11.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Angers | Draw | Ajaccio |
39.16% ( 0.19) | 29.15% ( 0.03) | 31.69% ( -0.21) |
Both teams to score 43.99% ( -0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.33% ( -0.12) | 62.67% ( 0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.77% ( -0.09) | 82.23% ( 0.09) |
Angers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.85% ( 0.05) | 31.14% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.52% ( 0.06) | 67.48% ( -0.06) |
Ajaccio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.89% ( -0.22) | 36.11% ( 0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.1% ( -0.22) | 72.89% ( 0.22) |
Score Analysis |
Angers | Draw | Ajaccio |
1-0 @ 13.12% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 7.79% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.65% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.03% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.98% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.54% ( -0) Other @ 3.04% Total : 39.16% | 1-1 @ 13.36% 0-0 @ 11.24% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.57% Total : 29.14% | 0-1 @ 11.45% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.81% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 5.83% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.96% Total : 31.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |