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Toulouse
Monaco
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 21
Jan 23, 2021 at 8pm UK
Stade Louis II
Marseille

Monaco
3 - 1
Marseille

Maripan (47'), Tchouameni (75'), Jovetic (90+2')
Diatta (81'), Golovin (89'), Fofana (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Radonjic (12')
Balerdi (21'), Sakai (49'), Gonzalez (76'), Khaoui (82'), Gueye (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Monaco and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 52.86%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Marseille had a probability of 22.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.87%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a Marseille win it was 0-1 (7.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.

Result
MonacoDrawMarseille
52.86%24.69%22.45%
Both teams to score 49.97%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.23%51.76%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.47%73.53%
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.45%19.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.55%51.45%
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.12%37.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.34%74.65%
Score Analysis
    Monaco 52.86%
    Marseille 22.45%
    Draw 24.69%
MonacoDrawMarseille
1-0 @ 12.08%
2-0 @ 9.87%
2-1 @ 9.58%
3-0 @ 5.37%
3-1 @ 5.21%
3-2 @ 2.53%
4-0 @ 2.19%
4-1 @ 2.13%
4-2 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 52.86%
1-1 @ 11.73%
0-0 @ 7.4%
2-2 @ 4.65%
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 24.69%
0-1 @ 7.19%
1-2 @ 5.69%
0-2 @ 3.49%
1-3 @ 1.84%
2-3 @ 1.5%
0-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 22.45%

How you voted: Monaco vs Marseille

Monaco
70.7%
Draw
12.9%
Marseille
16.4%
116
Head to Head
Dec 12, 2020 4pm
Gameweek 14
Marseille
2-1
Monaco
Thauvin (5'), Benedetto (13')
Kamara (76'), Thauvin (77'), Germain (90+3')
Ben Yedder (79' pen.)
Fofana (43')
May 9, 2020 7pm
Oct 30, 2019 8.05pm
Third Round
Monaco
2-1
Marseille
Augustin (25'), Aguilar (40')
Jemerson (19')
Lecomte (77' og.)
Caleta-Car (62'), Amavi (82')
Sep 15, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 5
Monaco
3-4
Marseille
Ben Yedder (17' pen., 26'), Balde (75')
Ballo-Toure (36'), Aguilar (42'), Balde (91')
Benedetto (38', 66'), Germain (41'), Payet (61')
Kamara (15'), Gonzalez (62'), Benedetto (91')
Jan 13, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 20
Marseille
1-1
Monaco
Lopez (13')
Sanson (58'), Ocampos (74')
Tielemans (38')
Sylla (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG108202982126
2Marseille1062223121120
3MonacoMonaco10622157820
4Lille10532169718
5Nice104421991016
6Lyon104331715215
7Lens1035297214
8Reims104241615114
9StrasbourgStrasbourg103431919013
10Auxerre104151718-113
11Brest104151316-313
12Toulouse103341111012
13Rennes103251316-311
14NantesNantes102441214-210
15Angers102441116-510
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne103161024-1410
17Le HavreLe Havre10307820-129
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier10118830-224


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