Ligue 1 | Gameweek 22
Feb 14, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Francis-Le Ble
Brest2 - 2Auxerre
We said: Brest 2-1 Auxerre
Brest should have plenty of momentum given their home form at Stade Francis-Le Ble, and we believe their resilience will win the day against an Auxerre side that are low on confidence and struggling to close out their matches. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 39.94%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 35.09% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.54%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 1-2 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Brest | Draw | Auxerre |
39.94% ( 0.47) | 24.97% ( -0.12) | 35.09% ( -0.34) |
| Both teams to score 57.67% ( 0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.31% ( 0.52) | 45.69% ( -0.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.99% ( 0.49) | 68.01% ( -0.48) |
| Brest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.25% ( 0.47) | 22.75% ( -0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.57% ( 0.69) | 56.44% ( -0.68) |
| Auxerre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.66% ( 0.05) | 25.35% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.87% ( 0.06) | 60.13% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
Brest 39.94%
Auxerre 35.09%
Draw 24.96%
| Brest | Draw | Auxerre |
| 2-1 @ 8.68% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 8.54% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 6.32% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.28% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 3.12% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 1.59% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.25% Total : 39.94% | 1-1 @ 11.71% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 5.77% ( -0.13)3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.96% | 1-2 @ 8.04% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 7.92% ( -0.16)0-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 3.68% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.26% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.62% Total : 35.09% |
How you voted: Brest vs Auxerre
Brest
84.7%Draw
12.5%Auxerre
2.8%72
Head to Head
May 14, 2023 2pm
Oct 2, 2022 2pm
Feb 11, 2019 7.45pm
Feb 7, 2019
12am
