MX23RW : Wednesday, April 23 23:39:35| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Brest logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 30
Apr 20, 2025 at 4.15pm UK
Stade Francis-Le Ble
Lens logo

Brest
1 - 3
Lens

Lees-Melou (13')
Ndiaye (45+5')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Koyalipou (17'), El Aynaoui (45+7' pen.), Said (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Lens, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Etienne 3-3 Brest
Sunday, April 13 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 0-2 Reims
Friday, April 11 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

We said: Brest 2-1 Lens

Brest are on the hunt for European football, and all of the momentum seems to be with the hosts ahead of this weekend's clash. Additionally, Lens' poor away record suggests that they may struggle on their trip to Stade Francis-Le Ble, so expect Les Pirates to take all three points on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 42.66%. A win for Brest had a probability of 31.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest Brest win was 1-0 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.

Result
BrestDrawLens
31.71% (0.026 0.03) 25.62% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 42.66% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Both teams to score 54.44% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.56% (0.037999999999997 0.04)49.44% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.52% (0.033999999999999 0.03)71.48% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.75% (0.037000000000006 0.04)29.25% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.79% (0.043999999999997 0.04)65.2% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.94% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)23.05% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.11% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)56.88% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Brest 31.71%
    Lens 42.66%
    Draw 25.62%
BrestDrawLens
1-0 @ 8.29% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-1 @ 7.48% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 5.1% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 3.06% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.25% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 2.09% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 0.94% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 31.71%
1-1 @ 12.16%
0-0 @ 6.74% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.49% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.62%
0-1 @ 9.89% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.92% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-2 @ 7.26% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.37% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 3.55% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.68% (0.0029999999999997 0)
1-4 @ 1.6%
0-4 @ 1.3% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 42.66%

How you voted: Brest vs Lens

Brest
Draw
Lens
Brest
71.7%
Draw
21.7%
Lens
6.5%
46
Head to Head
Aug 25, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 2
Lens
2-0
Brest
Chavez (19'), Le Cardinal (45' og.)
Labeau (17'), Khusanov (83')
Machado (88')

Amavi (25'), Faivre (67'), Magnetti (67')
Mar 9, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 25
Lens
1-0
Brest
Aguilar (32')
Khusanov (7')

Magnetti (69'), Satriano (90+2')
Aug 13, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 1
Brest
3-2
Lens
Del Castillo (45+2' pen., 87' pen.), Lala (56')
Lees-Melou (35'), Brassier (45+4')
Sotoca (10'), Machado (22')
Sotoca (48'), Medina (52'), Samba (85')
Thomasson (82')
Feb 5, 2023 4.05pm
Gameweek 22
Brest
1-1
Lens
Gradit (83')
Jan 22, 2023 8pm
Round of 32
Brest
1-3
Lens
Slimani (19')
Said (5'), Medina (30'), Thomasson (37')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG30246083285578
2Marseille30174962422055
3MonacoMonaco30166857352254
4Lille30158747321553
5Nice30149756381851
6Lyon30156958411751
7StrasbourgStrasbourg30149748371151
8Lens30136113533245
9Brest30135124849-144
10Rennes30122164540538
11Auxerre30108124145-438
12Toulouse3097143839-134
13Reims3088143242-1032
14NantesNantes30710133550-1531
15Angers3086162948-1930
16Le HavreLe Havre3083193364-3127
17Saint-EtienneSt Etienne3076173368-3527
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier3043232271-4915


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