Ligue 1 | Gameweek 27
Mar 30, 2025 at 2pm UK
Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
Toulouse2 - 4Brest
FT(HT: 0-2)
Bourgault (22'), Pereira Lage (26'), Doumbia (62'), Camara (90')
Lala (24'), Lees-Melou (28'), Pereira Lage (68'), Bizot (86'), Luc Evrad Zogbe (87')
Lala (24'), Lees-Melou (28'), Pereira Lage (68'), Bizot (86'), Luc Evrad Zogbe (87')
We said: Toulouse 1-1 Brest
Sitting next to each other in the Ligue 1 standings, Toulouse and Brest are well-matched heading into this weekend's clash at Stadium de Toulouse. Without Magri and Aboukhlal, Les Violets could struggle to find the net, but we feel that they should be good enough for a share of the points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 38.85%. A win for Brest had a probability of 34.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (9.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Toulouse | Draw | Brest |
38.85% ( -0.09) | 26.53% ( -0.03) | 34.62% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 52.28% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.41% ( 0.13) | 52.58% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.76% ( 0.11) | 74.24% ( -0.12) |
| Toulouse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.55% ( 0.01) | 26.44% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.38% ( 0.02) | 61.61% ( -0.02) |
| Brest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.07% ( 0.14) | 28.93% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.19% ( 0.17) | 64.8% ( -0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
Toulouse 38.84%
Brest 34.62%
Draw 26.53%
| Toulouse | Draw | Brest |
| 1-0 @ 10.17% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 8.39% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.77% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.72% ( -0)3-0 @ 3% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.31% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.24% 4-0 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 2.24% Total : 38.84% | 1-1 @ 12.62% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.65% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.21% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.53% | 0-1 @ 9.49% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.83% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.24% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.43% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.59% Total : 34.62% |
How you voted: Toulouse vs Brest
Toulouse
34.6%Draw
30.8%Brest
34.6%26
Head to Head
Sep 22, 2024 4pm
May 19, 2024 8pm
Apr 2, 2023 2pm
Jan 15, 2023 2pm
