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Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Nantes
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 16
Dec 17, 2023 at 12pm UK
Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
Brest logo

Nantes
0 - 2
Brest


Lafont (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Magnetti (49'), Mounie (57')
Camara (28'), Le Douaron (86'), Satriano (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Nantes and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PSG 2-1 Nantes
Saturday, December 9 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Metz 0-1 Brest
Sunday, December 10 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Nantes 1-1 Brest

In the midst of a fine run of form, Brest certainly pose a major threat to Nantes, but the hosts have looked much-improved under new management and put up two impressive displays against high-flying opposition. With home advantage, we fancy Gourvennec's men to take a creditable share of the spoils on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 39.2%. A win for Brest had a probability of 33.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
NantesDrawBrest
39.2% (0.354 0.35) 26.91% (-0.143 -0.14) 33.88% (-0.213 -0.21)
Both teams to score 50.96% (0.407 0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.79% (0.533 0.53)54.21% (-0.535 -0.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.38% (0.442 0.44)75.61% (-0.444 -0.44)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73% (0.449 0.45)27% (-0.451 -0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.64% (0.584 0.58)62.35% (-0.585 -0.59)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.8% (0.128 0.13)30.19% (-0.13 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.65% (0.154 0.15)66.35% (-0.15600000000001 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Nantes 39.2%
    Brest 33.88%
    Draw 26.91%
NantesDrawBrest
1-0 @ 10.67% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-1 @ 8.37% (0.068 0.07)
2-0 @ 6.99% (0.032 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.65% (0.075 0.08)
3-0 @ 3.05% (0.053 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.19% (0.053 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.2% (0.04 0.04)
4-0 @ 1% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 39.2%
1-1 @ 12.78% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 8.15% (-0.172 -0.17)
2-2 @ 5.01% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.91%
0-1 @ 9.76% (-0.17 -0.17)
1-2 @ 7.65% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.85% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-3 @ 3.06% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.33% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2% (0.03 0.03)
1-4 @ 0.92% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 33.88%

How you voted: Nantes vs Brest

Nantes
40.7%
Draw
18.5%
Brest
40.7%
27
Head to Head
May 3, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 33
Brest
2-0
Nantes
Oct 16, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 11
Nantes
4-1
Brest
Simon (35' pen.), Ganago (36'), Mohamed (71'), Sissoko (88')
Fadiga (18')
Apr 10, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 31
Brest
1-1
Nantes
Chardonnet (67')
Herelle (64')
Kolo (10')
Chirivella (43'), Castelletto (70'), Da Silva (90+4')
Jan 28, 2022 8pm
Round of 16
Nantes
2-0
Brest
Blas (25', 53')

Brassier (33'), Herelle (51'), Chardonnet (72')
Sep 22, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 7
Nantes
3-1
Brest
Blas (27'), Chirivella (55'), Brassier (58' og.)
Castelletto (31')
Le Douaron (67')
Chardonnet (52'), Brassier (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG108202982126
2Marseille1062223121120
3MonacoMonaco10622157820
4Lille10532169718
5Nice104421991016
6Lyon104331715215
7Lens1035297214
8Reims104241615114
9StrasbourgStrasbourg103431919013
10Auxerre104151718-113
11Brest104151316-313
12Toulouse103341111012
13Rennes103251316-311
14NantesNantes102441214-210
15Angers102441116-510
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne103161024-1410
17Le HavreLe Havre10307820-129
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier10118830-224


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