We said: Clermont 1-2 Strasbourg
With nine points and 11 places separating these two sides heading into Wednesday's clash, Strasbourg are seemingly the strong favourites to come away with a victory.
Clermont are sure to put up a fight, though the visitors should do just enough to claim all three points at the Stade Gabriel Montpied.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Clermont win with a probability of 39.44%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 33.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Clermont win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 0-1 (9.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Strasbourg would win this match.