Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 55.62%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 21.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (6.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Strasbourg would win this match.
Result | ||
Strasbourg | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
55.62% | 23.15% | 21.22% |
Both teams to score 53.08% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.17% | 46.83% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.91% | 69.09% |
Strasbourg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.33% | 16.67% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.46% | 46.54% |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.71% | 36.3% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.92% | 73.08% |
Score Analysis |
Strasbourg | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
1-0 @ 10.84% 2-1 @ 9.84% 2-0 @ 9.71% 3-1 @ 5.88% 3-0 @ 5.8% 3-2 @ 2.98% 4-1 @ 2.63% 4-0 @ 2.6% 4-2 @ 1.33% 5-1 @ 0.94% 5-0 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.14% Total : 55.62% | 1-1 @ 10.98% 0-0 @ 6.05% 2-2 @ 4.99% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.15% | 0-1 @ 6.13% 1-2 @ 5.57% 0-2 @ 3.11% 1-3 @ 1.88% 2-3 @ 1.69% 0-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.8% Total : 21.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |