Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 50.75%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 23.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.9%) and 1-2 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 1-0 (8.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.
Result | ||
Ajaccio | Draw | Rennes |
23.31% (![]() | 25.94% (![]() | 50.75% (![]() |
Both teams to score 47.37% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.29% (![]() | 55.7% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.15% (![]() | 76.85% (![]() |
Ajaccio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.73% (![]() | 39.27% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.02% (![]() | 75.97% (![]() |
Rennes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.99% (![]() | 22% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.68% (![]() | 55.32% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Ajaccio | Draw | Rennes |
1-0 @ 8.08% (![]() 2-1 @ 5.72% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 3.78% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.78% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.35% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.18% ( ![]() Other @ 1.44% Total : 23.31% | 1-1 @ 12.22% (![]() 0-0 @ 8.64% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.33% ( ![]() Other @ 0.74% Total : 25.93% | 0-1 @ 13.08% (![]() 0-2 @ 9.9% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 9.26% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 5% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.67% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.18% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.89% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.77% ( ![]() Other @ 3% Total : 50.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 27 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 79 | 26 | 53 | 71 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 53 | 33 | 20 | 50 |
3 | Marseille | 27 | 15 | 4 | 8 | 54 | 36 | 18 | 49 |
4 | Nice | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 51 | 33 | 18 | 47 |
5 | Lille | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 41 | 28 | 13 | 47 |
6 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 45 | 35 | 10 | 46 |
7 | Lyon | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 52 | 37 | 15 | 45 |
8 | Brest | 27 | 12 | 4 | 11 | 42 | 42 | 0 | 40 |
9 | Lens | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 39 |
10 | Auxerre | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 38 | 39 | -1 | 35 |
11 | Toulouse | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 34 |
12 | Rennes | 27 | 10 | 2 | 15 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 32 |
13 | NantesNantes | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 31 | 46 | -15 | 27 |
14 | Angers | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 27 |
15 | Reims | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 26 |
16 | Le HavreLe Havre | 27 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 29 | 57 | -28 | 24 |
17 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 26 | 63 | -37 | 20 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 26 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 21 | 60 | -39 | 15 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |