Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 24

Feb 13, 2022 at 4.05pm UK

Stade Felix Bollaert

Lens
3 - 2
Bordeaux

Kalimuendo (10'), Kakuta (22' pen.), Fofana (26')
Doucoure (45'), Sotoca (61'), Haise (82'), Frankowski (88')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Elis (33'), Ui-jo (53')
Ui-jo (54'), Guilavogui (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Bordeaux, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

After their recent defensive disasters, Petkovic will surely look to shore up his defence and perhaps look to steal one goal against a side who have also struggled in the last couple of weeks. We do not think it will be enough, though, and are backing the hosts to leave with a comfortable two-goal victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 64.94%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Bordeaux had a probability of 14.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.98%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.57%), while for a Bordeaux win it was 0-1 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.

Result
Lens	Draw	Bordeaux
64.94%	20.15%	14.92%

Both teams to score 50.75%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.15%

43.85%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.76%

66.24%

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.27%

12.73%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.03%

38.97%

Bordeaux Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.15%

41.85%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.7%

78.3%

Score Analysis

Lens 64.93%

Bordeaux 14.92%

Draw 20.15%

Lens	Draw	Bordeaux
2-0 @ 11.31% 1-0 @ 10.98% 2-1 @ 9.86% 3-0 @ 7.78% 3-1 @ 6.77% 4-0 @ 4.01% 4-1 @ 3.49% 3-2 @ 2.95% 5-0 @ 1.65% 4-2 @ 1.52% 5-1 @ 1.44% Other @ 3.17% Total : 64.93%	1-1 @ 9.57% 0-0 @ 5.33% 2-2 @ 4.29% Other @ 0.96% Total : 20.15%	0-1 @ 4.64% 1-2 @ 4.17% 0-2 @ 2.02% 2-3 @ 1.25% 1-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 1.63% Total : 14.92%