Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 46.35%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 27.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 0-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montpellier HSC would win this match.