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Europa Conference League header WWW

UEFA Conference League
NK Olimpija Ljubljana
Conference League | Group Stage
Nov 30, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Stadion Stozice
Lille

Ljubljana
0 - 2
Lille


Brest (41'), Pedro (60'), Bristric (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Cabella (15'), Yazici (75')
Santos (38'), Umtiti (41'), Arnar Haraldsson (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between NK Olimpija Ljubljana and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

NK Olimpija Ljubljana

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Radomlje 0-2 Ljubljana
Saturday, November 25 at 4.30pm in Slovenian PrvaLiga

Lille

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Lyon 0-2 Lille
Sunday, November 26 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

We said: NK Olimpija Ljubljana 0-2 Lille

 Although Ljubljana have fared well in their recent home matches, the visit of French giants Lille represents the toughest tests the Slovenians are set to encounter this term. Fonseca's men put in a commanding display to breeze past strugglers Lyon on the weekend, and we see them doing a similar thing at Stadion Stozice to sealed Les Dogues' place in the knockout stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 48.1%. A win for NK Olimpija Ljubljana had a probability of 27.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.45%) and 0-2 (8.13%). The likeliest NK Olimpija Ljubljana win was 1-0 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Lille in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lille.

Result
NK Olimpija LjubljanaDrawLille
27.31% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04) 24.59% (0.026 0.03) 48.1% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 55.2% (-0.126 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.75% (-0.151 -0.15)47.25% (0.144 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.52% (-0.14 -0.14)69.47% (0.13500000000001 0.14)
NK Olimpija Ljubljana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.74% (-0.11200000000001 -0.11)31.26% (0.106 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.39% (-0.128 -0.13)67.61% (0.12100000000001 0.12)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.3% (-0.057999999999993 -0.06)19.7% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.29% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)51.7% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Score Analysis
    NK Olimpija Ljubljana 27.31%
    Lille 48.1%
    Draw 24.58%
NK Olimpija LjubljanaDrawLille
1-0 @ 7.16% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
2-1 @ 6.76% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.16% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 2.62% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.13% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.61% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 27.31%
1-1 @ 11.63% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.16% (0.037 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.49% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.58%
0-1 @ 10% (0.041 0.04)
1-2 @ 9.45% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 8.13% (0.023 0.02)
1-3 @ 5.12% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.4% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.98% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.08% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.79% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.21% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 48.1%

How you voted: Ljubljana vs Lille

NK Olimpija Ljubljana
20.6%
Draw
2.9%
Lille
76.5%
34
Head to Head
Sep 20, 2023 3.30pm
Group Stage
Lille
2-0
Ljubljana
David (43' pen.), Yazici (90+4')
Gomes (53')

Pedro (35'), Elsnik (39')
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