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Champions League header

Champions League
PSG logo
Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 28, 2023 at 8pm UK
Parc des Princes
Newcastle logo

PSG
1 - 1
Newcastle

Mbappe (90+8' pen.)
Ugarte (36'), Kang-in (54'), Dembele (58'), Skriniar (60'), Donnarumma (72'), Ramos (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Isak (24')
Joelinton (22'), Almiron (83'), Pope (90+2')

The Match

Match Report

Kylian Mbappe's injury-time penalty denies Newcastle United a famous win over Paris Saint-Germain, who rescue a 1-1 draw in Champions League Group F.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Newcastle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: PSG 5-2 Monaco
Friday, November 24 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Newcastle United

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Newcastle 4-1 Chelsea
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 54.99%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 23.5% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.74%) and 1-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-2 (6.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawNewcastle United
54.99% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 21.52% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 23.5% (-0.02 -0.02)
Both teams to score 61.87% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.33% (-0.055 -0.05)36.66% (0.055 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.18% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)58.82% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.63% (-0.012 -0.01)13.37% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.72% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)40.28% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.42% (-0.045999999999992 -0.05)28.58% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.62% (-0.058 -0.06)64.38% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 54.99%
    Newcastle United 23.5%
    Draw 21.52%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawNewcastle United
2-1 @ 9.69% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 7.74% (0.012 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.69% (0.017 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.5% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 5.19% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 4.07% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.27% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 2.61% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-2 @ 2.05% (-0.004 -0)
5-1 @ 1.32% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 1.05%
Other @ 3.83%
Total : 54.99%
1-1 @ 9.63% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.07% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.82% (0.01 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.7% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 21.52%
1-2 @ 6.03% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-1 @ 4.79% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 3%
2-3 @ 2.53% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 2.52% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.25% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 23.5%

How you voted: PSG vs Newcastle

Paris Saint-Germain
72.4%
Draw
14.7%
Newcastle United
12.9%
232
Head to Head
Oct 4, 2023 8pm
Group Stage
Newcastle
4-1
PSG
Almiron (17'), Burn (39'), Longstaff (50'), Schar (90+1')
Guimaraes (45+7'), Gordon (70'), Pope (87')
Hernandez (56')
Hernandez (38'), Hakimi (43'), Dembele (67'), Zaire-Emery (81')
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